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Rebel set to be leader of pack

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Why you can trust SCMP

Rebel Leader gets his chance to show what he's made of at Sha Tin tomorrow in the sixth event, which concludes the Triple Trio.

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What he's made of should be more than good enough to justify banker status. The Geoff Lane-trained four-year-old was having his first run back from a gelding operation over the Valley mile last time and that was never going to be his course as he's much more of a galloping, grinding type. It was his first attempt at the Valley and it is also quite natural to assume he would have needed his run back from the snip.

Prior to that he had shaped nicely at Sha Tin and now he's back to the Sha Tin mile, with that recent run under his belt, he can run on strongly in the closing stages and into the tierce. Even a mile could be a bit on the short side for him as his true potential may come out over 1,800 metres or farther. But he hasn't struck a particularly strong race and should be finishing all over the top of them under Steven King.

Frat Rat's form looks pretty solid following last week's win from Namjong Spirit, who had previously run third to Puccini and him. The way Frat Rat has been sticking on over 1,400 metres indicates he should have no trouble at tomorrow's mile and he should also appreciate racing off the light weight.

Greenmore had no luck last time and looks the other main form contender followed by Top Light and Good Man, who ran most promisingly on debut.

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This sixth event looks by far the easiest of the three legs to solve and is strongly recommended as the one to go thin in. Perhaps it could even be worth taking two out of Rebel Leader, Frat Rat and Greenmore as double bankers. Ater all, it is only like trying to get a quinella place.

First impressions for the third event, which opens the TT, are that Po On Power and Speed At Will are the two on whom to focus. Po On Power, in particular, had no luck last time when ridden too far back in his field and then hampered when making good late headway. He had previously won well in the wet at Happy Valley but is equally at home on the dirt.

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