State Statistics Bureau deputy director-general Qiu Xiaohua expects China to maintain 7 per cent economic growth or better during the next 10 to 15 years. He told the Asian Securities Analysts Federation conference this could happen 'assuming the world economy can turn around in the middle of next year and will be able to recover'. On Sunday, State Development and Planning Commission Minister Zeng Peiyan said the mainland's gross domestic product should this year grow 7.4 per cent. Yesterday, Mr Qiu said GDP would have climbed past 8 per cent but for the global recession. Exports account for 23 per cent of GDP and, in the first 10 months this year, grew 6.1 per cent. However, Mr Qiu expects the year to end showing the mainland had achieved an export increase of between 4 and 5 per cent.