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Mortgages jump, but no turnaround yet

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Mortgages rose sharply last month, but analysts warned the 39.5 per cent increase in loans drawn down - to HK$8.6 billion - did not signal a turning point in the depressed property market.

'The mortgage numbers typically reflect S&P numbers [sales and purchase data published by the Land Registry], one month in arrears,' said CLSA head of regional property research John Saunders.

'So you are looking at the outcome of a jump for August sales - which was driven mainly by the release of the Park Island development by Sun Hung Kai, which sold some 2,600 units in one hit,' he said.

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Salomon Smith Barney property analyst Robert Wong and Daiwa analyst Jonas Kan agreed that the loan data did not signal a turnaround.

Mr Saunders said last month's S&P numbers had risen to 6,858 from 5,620 in August, with primary sales up from 1,086 to 3,454. He expected October's S&P number to fall back to 6,000, split roughly half and half between primary and secondary sales.

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The mortgage data released by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) also showed that the value of loans approved last month rose 19.6 per cent to HK$9 billion 'driven by a 75.3 per cent increase in primary market transactions'.

By comparison, the HKMA said, new approvals for refinancing loans and secondary market transactions declined by about 20 per cent during the month.

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