The top scorer does not always emerge from the winning team, but it is obvious that the further a team goes in the competition, the more chances the strikers will have to score. At the last six European Championships, 10 players have been outright top scorer or shared the award, and of them, nine reached at least the semi-finals (four were on the winning team, one played for a losing finalist, four more lost in the semis; the last was on the losing side in the quarters). France, Italy and Portugal are all probable semi-finalists, which draws the eye to Thierry Henry (7-1), Christian Vieri (9-1) and Pedro Pauleta (17-1, below). Vieri backers, however, should note that none of those 10 previous top scorers were Italian, and there are doubts over the make-up of Italy's attack, as there are with Holland's, which makes Ruud van Nistelrooy (9-1) poor value, especially as they are in a tough group. The best long-priced contenders are Sweden's Henrik Larsson (41-1) and Bulgaria's Dimitar Berbatov (101-1), whose teams could make the semi-finals providing they can get out of Group C, and Group D pair Milan Baros (81-1, Czech Republic) and Kevin Kuranyi (23-1, Germany). Recommended bet: $100 on Pauleta.