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Senator's in his element as I-Ching divines victory

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Why you can trust SCMP
Alex Loin Toronto

It is the ancient Chinese equivalent of the Gallup poll - but instead of surveying voters, an I Ching expert is consulting the gods and the elements to predict whether Senator John Kerry or President George W. Bush will win Tuesday's US presidential election.

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The Hong Kong Chow-Yi Forecast Learning Centre took out an English-language newspaper advertisement last week, predicting that Senator Kerry would win.

But it also warned there would be another vote dispute, and Mr Bush was likely to be taken to hospital after the election.

Centre chairwoman Cheung Kai-kai claimed it had predicted the outcomes of this month's Australian election and the Taiwanese election in May.

She said the centre had no political or ideological preference and the election forecast was purely for academic interest.

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'You cannot let your personal wishes and preferences affect your predictions and calculations. You have to stay neutral,' Ms Cheung said.

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