It ought to come as no surprise that the private owners of the Hunghom Peninsula have chosen to demolish and rebuild the housing project. The redevelopment option, after all, will bring the most profit, and we are talking about companies with shareholders to please.
Renovations would have been unsatisfactory and resulted in a fraction of the returns, as would selling the flats as they are. Contrary to the companies' talk about weighing these options since the deal was struck in February, taking down all seven towers was always the likely outcome. And because the government turned over ownership and development rights, it has little room to manoeuvre, despite cries for it to do something.
There are, of course, lessons to be learned here - and whatever redevelopment takes place has to be as socially and environmentally responsible as possible.
No environmental controls made their way into the transfer agreement, as if no one expected Sun Hung Kai and New World Development to do what comes naturally. And the price was far too low. The developers paid a premium of less than $1 billion and agreed to give up nearly $2 billion in government-guaranteed income that was to have been generated by the sale of flats. The redevelopment premium paid was far below what the land alone could have fetched on the open market, and the new flats may generate a profit of up to $6 billion.
Granted, negotiations started when the property market was in a slump, and there was the threat of legal action against the Housing Authority hanging in the air. But even as the market recovered and the government's bargaining position improved, it still did not manage to drive a harder bargain or recover more money for the public.
The Hunghom patch is prime waterfront real estate. In an auction, it would have fetched a respectable price at the time the project began, and probably even more if it went under the hammer this past year. In truth, it should never have been used for subsidised housing, and the plan for the government to build and sell low-cost flats was misguided to begin with.