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Each side may claim victory but who is really winning?

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Why you can trust SCMP

Twenty days into the still-nameless war being waged across the Israel-Lebanon border neither side could as yet claim victory.

Hezbollah, a guerilla force numbering a few thousand men, has not been broken despite more than 2,000 Israeli air sorties and clashes with crack Israeli units on the ground. Its command structure continues to function, more or less intact, and its frontline fighters - both those facing Israeli troops and those firing rockets - are putting up an exemplary fight.

Israel has been unable to halt the daily dose of more than 100 rockets that have rained down on its northern cities and villages for more than two weeks.

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Israel, for its part, has succeeded in knocking out a significant chunk of Hezbollah's infrastructure, destroying hundreds, if not thousands, of hidden rockets.

In doing so, it has revealed that Israeli intelligence is capable of penetrating even the disciplined ranks of the Shi'ite militia. The Israeli Air Force has destroyed much of Lebanon's infrastructure as well, partly to deprive Hezbollah and partly to punish Lebanon for permitting a militia operating from its territory to provoke war with a sovereign neighbour.

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According to Israel, its ground troops have inflicted several times as many casualties on Hezbollah as they themselves have suffered.

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