England will beat Andorra tonight: the only question is by how many goals. The game is the biggest mismatch on the international weekend programme, with 127 places separating the two teams in the world rankings. England rank third best among the 50 nations competing for a place at Euro 2008, while Andorra are rated the fifth worst. Last month's 4-0 friendly win over Greece will lead many people to expect that England will rack up an even bigger score against Andorra, but the stats suggest otherwise. In the last 10 years England have exceeded three goals in just three out of 23 competitive internationals at home and have scored two goals or fewer in 18 of those games. The lowest-ranked team in England's qualifying group for the 2006 World Cup were Azerbaijan, who were beaten only 2-0 away and 1-0 at home. It was a similar story in Euro 2004 qualifying when England recorded 2-0 wins home and away to Liechtenstein. Andorra are worse than both Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein (though not by much) but are rarely beaten out of sight. Their average away result against the stronger European nations works out at 4-0 and betting on that scoreline could be the best play here. It is no surprise that the handicap on England has been set at -4. The best bet tonight is Romania to score a home win over Bulgaria. Romania look a team on the way up under coach Victor Piturca, who is in his second spell in charge. Adrian Mutu is in great scoring form and the defence has kept 10 clean sheets in their past 12 matches. At home he has guided Romania to six wins out of nine. Bulgaria are dangerous, with Premiership newcomers Dimitar Berbatov and Stilian Petrov in their squad. For all their talent going forward, however, Bulgaria are vulnerable at the back. They conceded 11 goals in four meetings with Croatia and Sweden during World Cup qualifying. The away teams worth considering tonight are Israel, Greece, Sweden and Norway. Sweden are tempting away to Latvia, but this is almost a derby match and the home side are good enough to make things very difficult. Norway are the best handicap bet away to Hungary. There are better bets in the midweek internationals, which feature a World Cup final rematch between France and Italy. France have home advantage but this should be close again. The last four meetings between the sides have ended all-square after 90 minutes and this could well be another draw. Under 2.5 goals is worth backing, too. Two other midweek games that could be close and low scoring are Slovakia v Czech Republic and Russia v Croatia. Under 2.5 goals is a good bet in both matches. Home win: Romania. Draw: France v Italy. Low goals: France v Italy, Slovakia v Czech Republic, Russia v Croatia.