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IMF predicts Hong Kong economy to expand 5pc

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Hong Kong's economy is expected to grow 5 per cent next year after a robust increase in the range of 5.5 to 6 per cent this year, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

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The IMF also expected that the budget surplus this year would be higher than the government's original forecast of HK$5.6 billion.

The comments were part of the concluding statements published yesterday following the visit by an IMF mission last month.

The mission said it expected economic growth of 5.5 to 6 per cent this year, and around 5 per cent next year. Near-term risks to this outlook included a sharper slowdown in global demand and a rise in protectionist sentiments towards the mainland, the mission said.

With last year's budget surplus reaching HK$14 billion, or 1 per cent of gross domestic product, the mission believed the budget this year would continue to take advantage of the strong economy.

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'The current economic outlook and spending trends suggest this year's output could be above 0.5 per cent of GDP,' the mission said.

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