Advertisement

How to outgrow an export-led economy

Reading Time:2 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP
SCMP Reporter

The global economic crisis was a defining moment for developing Asia. Its rapid rebound from the recession has changed how others view the region and how the region views itself. Now the region needs to refocus. We must turn our advantage into sustained economic growth. Keep unwinding stimulus, and, above all, become more efficient to sustain growth over the medium and longer term.

Developing Asia's recovery has led the world. This year, gross domestic product growth will probably reach 8.2 per cent, up from just over 5 per cent last year. This dynamism contrasts starkly with the fragile recovery in advanced economies.

While developing Asia is justly proud of its economic resilience, there is no room for complacency. It must look beyond recovery and grab the opportunity to restructure for steady growth over the longer term. Don't forget, for all its achievements, developing Asia remains home to two-thirds of the world's poor.

Advertisement

So how do we do this? First, a reality check. Post-crisis, advanced economies must get a grip on debt; developing Asia must make its savings more productive. In this environment, the region's traditional export-led growth paradigm has to evolve.

Bringing trade, human capital, infrastructure, and financial development to the next level are the pillars for developing Asia's next transformation.

Advertisement

Trade has been and will remain a critical component of the region's success. We must galvanise the region's huge domestic consumption potential to bolster intra-regional trade. The corollary is that, for Asia's weaker, smaller or landlocked economies unable to tap global trade, we must provide 'aid for trade' to channel donor support for infrastructure development, removing impediments to trade, and building the expertise required to expand manufacturing and diversify exports.

Advertisement
Select Voice
Choose your listening speed
Get through articles 2x faster
1.25x
250 WPM
Slow
Average
Fast
1.25x