Deng Yuwen

Deng Yuwen is an independent political commentator and international relations scholar. He is currently a visiting scholar at the University of Nottingham, and also a member of council at the Beijing Reform and Development Institute.
Deng Yuwen
Deng Yuwen is an independent political commentator and international relations scholar. He is currently a visiting scholar at the University of Nottingham, and also a member of council at the Beijing Reform and Development Institute.

Latest from Deng Yuwen

Opinion | The trade war won’t shake Xi Jinping’s grip on power in China – for now

The Chinese leader has been asserting his authority following biting criticism last year of his government’s handling of the trade conflict. His power is secure, but surely a China that has celebrated 40 years of reform won’t regress to the days when one person could decide the country’s fate.

30 Jan 2019 - 3:36AM
The trade war won’t shake Xi Jinping’s grip on power in China – for now

The Chinese leader has been asserting his authority following biting criticism last year of his government’s handling of the trade conflict. His power is secure, but surely a China that has celebrated 40 years of reform won’t regress to the days when one person could decide the country’s fate.

Opinion | Why China will wait until 2030 to take back Taiwan – unless the island forces Xi Jinping’s hand

The trade war has set back China’s timetable for reunification with Taiwan. But for political and personal reasons, President Xi Jinping is likely to retake the island, by force if necessary, before he steps down around 2033.

26 Nov 2018 - 6:01AM
Why China will wait until 2030 to take back Taiwan – unless the island forces Xi Jinping’s hand

The trade war has set back China’s timetable for reunification with Taiwan. But for political and personal reasons, President Xi Jinping is likely to retake the island, by force if necessary, before he steps down around 2033.

Opinion | The trade war could well end in November, with Donald Trump and Xi Jinping calling a truce

Signs are pointing to the US-China trade war ending in November. Donald Trump has made an overture to Xi Jinping, and the Chinese have hinted at the possibility of making concessions to the Americans.

31 Oct 2018 - 2:52AM
The trade war could well end in November, with Donald Trump and Xi Jinping calling a truce

Signs are pointing to the US-China trade war ending in November. Donald Trump has made an overture to Xi Jinping, and the Chinese have hinted at the possibility of making concessions to the Americans.

Is reform dead in China? Trump’s trade war may be breathing life back into the cause

China’s economic reforms have stagnated as Beijing does not have the will to wade into political reform and further marketise the economy. However, the trade war with the US might give China the push it needs to change things.

8 Nov 2018 - 3:57PM
Is reform dead in China? Trump’s trade war may be breathing life back into the cause

China’s economic reforms have stagnated as Beijing does not have the will to wade into political reform and further marketise the economy. However, the trade war with the US might give China the push it needs to change things.

Opinion | Trade war raises the spectre of a ‘China collapse’, and Beijing should worry

The impact on China’s economy could destabilise a country already dealing with the twin problems of low public trust and unresponsive government bureaucracy. But although change is inevitable, an eruption of public anger is not.

29 Sep 2018 - 2:36PM
Trade war raises the spectre of a ‘China collapse’, and Beijing should worry

The impact on China’s economy could destabilise a country already dealing with the twin problems of low public trust and unresponsive government bureaucracy. But although change is inevitable, an eruption of public anger is not.

With trade war looming overhead, China’s Beidaihe meeting a chance to discuss what went wrong

The annual informal late-summer gathering of China’s ruling party will almost certainly be devoted to US tariffs and how to respond to them, as well as containing public dissatisfaction and, on a subtle level, discussing the leadership’s mistakes.

25 Jul 2018 - 8:51PM
With trade war looming overhead, China’s Beidaihe meeting a chance to discuss what went wrong

The annual informal late-summer gathering of China’s ruling party will almost certainly be devoted to US tariffs and how to respond to them, as well as containing public dissatisfaction and, on a subtle level, discussing the leadership’s mistakes.

The US sees the trade war as a tactic to contain China. So does Beijing

The trade conflict is only a proxy for the larger battle for dominance between the two powers. With all signs pointing to a Chinese government determined to fight back, given that its goal of national rejuvenation is at stake, China is unlikely to cave in to US pressure.

4 Jul 2018 - 7:07AM
The US sees the trade war as a tactic to contain China. So does Beijing

The trade conflict is only a proxy for the larger battle for dominance between the two powers. With all signs pointing to a Chinese government determined to fight back, given that its goal of national rejuvenation is at stake, China is unlikely to cave in to US pressure.

Why China is becoming a friendlier neighbour in Asia 

Beijing sees the importance of cultivating good relations on its periphery, and is growing into its role as a global power on the rise. Warmer relations with a host of countries, including India, Japan and North Korea, are proof of it.

27 May 2018 - 9:40PM
Why China is becoming a friendlier neighbour in Asia 

Beijing sees the importance of cultivating good relations on its periphery, and is growing into its role as a global power on the rise. Warmer relations with a host of countries, including India, Japan and North Korea, are proof of it.

Why Kim Jong-un’s promise of a nuclear-free North Korea should not be trusted

Kim has rightly calculated that he needed to make some concessions to ease the pressure on his regime, but he will never totally give up the nuclear programme that North Korea has invested so much in.

4 May 2018 - 6:16PM
Why Kim Jong-un’s promise of a nuclear-free North Korea should not be trusted

Kim has rightly calculated that he needed to make some concessions to ease the pressure on his regime, but he will never totally give up the nuclear programme that North Korea has invested so much in.

China’s president for life? Not Xi Jinping, a student of history

Even with the removal of presidential term limits, Xi is too mindful of the lessons of history and the need to win over public opinion to consider holding power till his death.

14 Mar 2018 - 6:26PM
China’s president for life? Not Xi Jinping, a student of history

Even with the removal of presidential term limits, Xi is too mindful of the lessons of history and the need to win over public opinion to consider holding power till his death.

With an end to term limits, Xi can realise his Chinese dream – but will the price for China be too high?

Xi Jinping may have good intentions for removing the rule limiting a president to two terms in office but, in the long run, society won’t be better off by overturning an institution put in place to prevent power abuse.

6 Mar 2018 - 5:53PM
With an end to term limits, Xi can realise his Chinese dream – but will the price for China be too high?

Xi Jinping may have good intentions for removing the rule limiting a president to two terms in office but, in the long run, society won’t be better off by overturning an institution put in place to prevent power abuse.

Will Wang Qishan become Xi Jinping’s go-to man as Chinese vice-president?

The retired anti-corruption chief appears ready to make a political comeback after being named an NPC deputy to the legislative meeting in March.

20 Jul 2018 - 8:47PM
Will Wang Qishan become Xi Jinping’s go-to man as Chinese vice-president?

The retired anti-corruption chief appears ready to make a political comeback after being named an NPC deputy to the legislative meeting in March.

China is revving up its economic reform drive again, as Liu He pledged in Davos

There are many reasons China must recommit itself to its reform and opening up policy. Further reforms would help China meet its own development goals, and avoid a trade war with the US and Europe.

20 Jul 2018 - 8:47PM
China is revving up its economic reform drive again, as Liu He pledged in Davos

There are many reasons China must recommit itself to its reform and opening up policy. Further reforms would help China meet its own development goals, and avoid a trade war with the US and Europe.

Is China planning to take Taiwan by force in 2020?

Beijing may be coming to the conclusion that if it is to achieve reunification with Taiwan, it will have to do it by force, and sooner rather than later.

20 Jul 2018 - 2:55PM
Is China planning to take Taiwan by force in 2020?

Beijing may be coming to the conclusion that if it is to achieve reunification with Taiwan, it will have to do it by force, and sooner rather than later.

Beijing’s eviction of migrants exposes officials’ prejudice and ignorance of human rights

City governments in China should respect people’s freedom of mobility, and sacrificing migrant welfare for a policy goal is shameful discrimination.

20 Jul 2018 - 2:55PM
Beijing’s eviction of migrants exposes officials’ prejudice and ignorance of human rights

City governments in China should respect people’s freedom of mobility, and sacrificing migrant welfare for a policy goal is shameful discrimination.

Why Xi Jinping needs a stronger Communist Party to achieve his Chinese dream
In Xi’s new era, Chinese diplomacy will be a display of hard power

China’s communist leaders signal at their 19th party congress that a muscular foreign policy is vital for the country’s peaceful development.

20 Jul 2018 - 2:55PM
In Xi’s new era, Chinese diplomacy will be a display of hard power

China’s communist leaders signal at their 19th party congress that a muscular foreign policy is vital for the country’s peaceful development.

Why North Korea’s nuclear test may not be all bad

The recent test, a slap in the face for both China and the US, could have a sobering effect on the two powers, sharpening the choices that lay before them and strengthening their resolve to cooperate for a solution

20 Jul 2018 - 2:55PM
Why North Korea’s nuclear test may not be all bad

The recent test, a slap in the face for both China and the US, could have a sobering effect on the two powers, sharpening the choices that lay before them and strengthening their resolve to cooperate for a solution

The three groups of untouchables in China’s corruption crackdown
Why China isn’t ready to be a global leader
China must take a hard line on both North and South Korea
Donald Tsang’s loss is a victory for Hong Kong’s rule of law
In the Trump era, we can’t rule out war between China and the US, whether over trade or security
China must rein in Pyongyang’s nuclear actions before it’s too late
Collapse of the North Korean regime appears inevitable, and the world needs to prepare for it
For China, recognising North Korea as a nuclear power may be the most viable way to defuse crisis
Step by step, China seeks to remake international finance
Fall of Ling Jihua is a warning to the well-connected and corrupt in China
Declarations of loyalty a feature of China's dog-eat-dog politics

Soon after the official announcement that former security tsar Zhou Yongkang was under investigation, various provinces, cities and departments began lining up to declare their support for the wisdom and rectitude of Xi Jinping's decision.

17 Sep 2014 - 6:33PM
Declarations of loyalty a feature of China's dog-eat-dog politics

Soon after the official announcement that former security tsar Zhou Yongkang was under investigation, various provinces, cities and departments began lining up to declare their support for the wisdom and rectitude of Xi Jinping's decision.

China's ties with Latin America counter US rebalance policy

Xi Jinping's intense nine-day tour of Latin America last month yielded significant gains for Beijing's strategy in the region and in the broader strategic arena vis-à-vis the United States.

6 Aug 2014 - 4:01AM
China's ties with Latin America counter US rebalance policy

Xi Jinping's intense nine-day tour of Latin America last month yielded significant gains for Beijing's strategy in the region and in the broader strategic arena vis-à-vis the United States.

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