Mainland Chinese firms likely to need another 4 million sq ft in office space in Hong Kong, Colliers says

Mainland Chinese companies are likely to require an additional 4 million sq ft of office space in Hong Kong by 2025, according to Colliers.

Estimates based on a report published by the property consultancy on Monday suggest that these companies will occupy 18.06 million sq ft in Hong Kong in 2025, close to the 20 million sq ft in net floor area of office space that the city’s central business district is expected to have that year.

“We believe mainland firms will become the key demand driver for CBD (central business district) offices in the next few years, especially after the border reopens,” the report said. “We forecast new office demand by mainland firms could increase 4 million sq ft in gross floor area in the next five years, assuming 30 per cent of growth of new mainland firms to Hong Kong to reach 2,580 firms by 2025, with each taking an average space of 7,000 sq ft.”

The Colliers estimate rests on the fact that mainland companies’ office size requirements between 2015 and August this year averages at 7,000 sq ft. Based on this average, and that 1,986 mainland firms are currently present in the city, they are estimated to be occupying about 14 million sq ft in office space. Their proportion of new office spaces leased had, however, decreased to 16 per cent as of last month from 26 per cent in 2015.

Since 2016, around 60 per cent of new leases from mainland firms in Hong Kong have been in the CBD, which would suggest that 2.5 million sq ft of the estimated 4 million sq ft in potential new mainland demand would go to the area by 2025, according to Colliers.