China plans to rescue property firms in strongest sign yet that policymakers are easing a years-long clampdown on sector
- People’s Bank of China and China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission have jointly issued a notice to financial institutions laying out plans to ensure the ‘stable and healthy development’ of the sector, sources say
- Authorities have sought to defuse the property crisis with a raft of measures in the past few months
China has unveiled its most sweeping rescue package to bail out a real estate market mired in a record slowdown and deepening liquidity crunch, according to people familiar with the matter.
As part of the rescue plan, developers’ outstanding bank loans and trust borrowings due within the next six months can be extended for a year, while repayment on their bonds can also be extended or swapped through negotiations, the people added.
The move is the strongest sign yet that Chinese policymakers are easing a years-long clampdown on the property sector, one of the biggest drags on the world’s second-largest economy along with the nation’s dogged Zero-Covid policies. Authorities also issued a sweeping set of measures to recalibrate their pandemic response on Friday, publicly outlining a 20-point playbook for officials aimed at reducing the economic and social impact of containing the coronavirus.
Taken together, the policy pivots by President Xi Jinping’s government address two of the biggest headwinds to China’s growth outlook and are likely to add fuel to a market rally that sent a gauge of Chinese shares in Hong Kong up 17 per cent in the past two weeks.
It’s a stark reversal from the gloom that descended over markets in late October, after Xi’s elevation of close allies to the highest rungs of power stoked concern that ideology would trump pragmatism for the most powerful Chinese leader since Mao Zedong. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index has now erased losses suffered in the immediate wake of last month’s Communist Party Congress, swinging from one of the world’s worst-performing stock gauges to among the best.
Authorities have sought to defuse the property crisis with a raft of measures in the past few months, including cutting interest rates, urging major banks to extend 1 trillion yuan (US$140 billion) of financing in the final months of the year, and offering special loans through policy banks to ensure property projects are delivered.
China also expanded a key financing support programme designed for private firms including real estate companies to about 250 billion yuan this week, a move that could help developers sell more bonds and ease their liquidity woes.
One of the biggest policy changes in the latest notice is to allow a “temporary” easing of restrictions on bank lending to developers.
China began imposing caps on bank’s property lending in 2021, as authorities sought to tighten the reins on a bubble-prone industry and curb leverage at some of the nation’s largest developers. Banks not meeting the current restrictions will be given extra time to meet the requirement, said the people.
China’s US$2.4 trillion new-home market remains fragile and property debt defaults have surged. Price declines in the existing-home market were the most extreme in almost eight years in September, according to the latest official data. At banks, the proportion of bad loans related to property has surged to 30 per cent, according to Citigroup estimates.
Signs of easing property curbs and pandemic restrictions have led to a sharp rebound in China assets. A Bloomberg Intelligence gauge of Chinese developers’ stocks jumped a record 18 per cent on Friday, with Country Garden Holdings surging 35 per cent.
Still, the financial backstop is dwarfed by the looming debt maturities facing developers. China’s property sector has at least US$292 billion of onshore and offshore borrowings coming due through the end of 2023. That includes US$53.7 billion in borrowings this year, followed by US$72.3 billion of maturities in the first quarter of next year.