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Banking & finance
BusinessBanking & Finance

China’s regulators to support smaller banks to limit financial contagion from burgeoning bad debt, PwC says

  • China’s regulators to step up support of smaller banks most vulnerable to rising NPLs, PwC says
  • State-led seizures, liquidity injections to limit financial contagion

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An employee reaches for a bundle of 100 yuan banknotes at a branch of Bank of China in Hefei, Anhui province September 17, 2010. Photo: Reuters
Georgina Lee

China’s financial regulators need to cut the country’s smaller city and rural commercial banks more slack, as they are most vulnerable to higher-risk borrowers amid a slumping economy and depressed demand caused by the coronavirus outbreak, according to consultancy PwC.

Regulators’ moves to bolster the lenders should help keep the banking sector’s non-performing loan (NPL) level in check, according to Richard Zhu, north China financial services leader at PwC based in Beijing.

Measures that the regulators might take range from a government-led bailout, liquidity support to debt restructuring programmes, he said.

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“Regulators would likely step up efforts to prevent NPLs among smaller banks from spiralling into a systemic risk for the banking system,” said Zhu.

An employee at a currency exchange store counts Chinese one-hundred yuan banknotes in Hong Kong, China, on January. 12, 2016. Photo: Bloomberg
An employee at a currency exchange store counts Chinese one-hundred yuan banknotes in Hong Kong, China, on January. 12, 2016. Photo: Bloomberg
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NPLs amounted to 1.86 per cent of China loans at the end of 2019. Banking analysts expect NPLs to rise within a wide range, anywhere from 2 per cent from Singaporean lender DBS to 6 per cent from credit rating agency S&P Global.

The NPL ratio is closely related to banks’ ability to resolve their pile of sour loans, either through sales, restructuring or write-offs. The larger the amount of delinquent loans that banks are able to resolve, the lower the NPL ratio, analysts have said.

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