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China’s small lenders bear brunt of risks in banking sector as economic slowdown exposes weak fundamentals

  • Smaller banks face pressure as their bad loans are exposed to an economic slowdown caused largely by pandemic restrictions
  • Banks’ recent increase of aid to property developers under the guidance of the central government could also increase their burden

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A protest over the freezing of deposits by some rural banks in Henan province in the summer. The scandal was cited as an example of problems at small local banks can spread nationwide. Photo: via Reuters

China’s small lenders will bear much of the risk in China’s banking industry, as an economic slowdown caused by the country’s zero-Covid policy exacerbates their weaker fundamentals, according to credit rating agencies Moody’s and CCXI.

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Medium-sized and small banks will be impacted by regional economic fluctuations and the pandemic, and in the future they will face more pressure to control their bad loan ratios and provision coverage ratios,” said Wen Yuqi, director of the financial institutions ratings department at CCXI, referring to the amount of capital they must set aside to cover soured loans.

She was speaking at the online CCXI & Moody’s China Credit Outlook Conference on Tuesday.

China’s town-level and small rural banks are more exposed to risk than their larger peers even though their assets account for less than 1 per cent of the total among all Chinese banks, according to Nicholas Zhu, vice-president at Moody’s.

The problem is if they get into trouble, there is a risk of contagion.

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China aims for modest 5.5% GDP growth in 2022, citing economic pressures

China aims for modest 5.5% GDP growth in 2022, citing economic pressures

“We can’t say the risk is small,” he said. “Small rural financial institutions have potential systemic risks” which could spread to the wider financial sector.

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