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The Connect Hall at HKEX in Central. Photo: Jonathan Wong

Hong Kong’s IPO environment toughest in over a decade, as rising interest rates, banking tumult, economic slowdown weigh: Deloitte

  • Deloitte expects Hong Kong IPO fundraising levels to hit an 11-year low in 2023 after a 14 per cent drop in deal volumes and a 61 per cent plunge in deal value, over last year
  • Some improvement can be expected in the fourth quarter after the city introduced various reforms

Hong Kong’s public fundraising environment is at its toughest in over a decade, as the global banking turbulence, high interest rates and slow recovery pace of mainland China’s economy bruised investor sentiment, according to Deloitte China.

Hong Kong is currently ranked eighth globally among initial public offering (IPO) fundraising centres, according to the Deloitte China Capital Market Service Group (CMSG) third-quarter report. For the full year, the consultancy expects the Hong Kong IPO market to hit its lowest fundraising level in 11 years.

“The stock market remained weak in the third quarter,” said Robert Lui, south region Hong Kong offering services leader, Deloitte China at a news conference on Friday. “Many IPO candidates continue to wait-and-see for a turnaround in market valuations while preparing and planning their offerings.”

The city is estimated to have hosted 44 IPOs, which garnered HK$24.7 billion (US$3.1 billion) in the first three quarters of 2023, compared with 51 that raised HK$64 billion in the same period last year – a 14 per cent drop in deal volumes and a 61 per cent plunge in value.

(L-R) The flags of the Hong Kong stock exchange, China and Hong Kong are seen flapping in the wind on May 6, 2019. Photo: AFP
But some improvement can be expected in the fourth quarter after the city introduced various reforms, including enhancements to the Stock Connect scheme, HKEX’s new offices in New York and London and the upcoming launch of FINI, according to Deloitte. Several potential IPO candidates were waiting in the wings eyeing a turnaround in market valuations, it said.

“Hong Kong remains their preferred choice given many exciting reforms that it has introduced, its unique advantages, especially as the world’s largest offshore renminbi hub, free flow of capital with access to international investors, and various connect schemes with the mainland capital market that facilitate investment links through different products,” said Edward Au, southern region managing partner, Deloitte China.

AI start-up Fourth Paradigm among 3 Chinese firms launching Hong Kong IPOs

Elsewhere, blockbuster IPOs in mainland China allowed the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange to rank first and second, respectively.

While mainland exchanges lead the listings, regulatory changes to various aspects of its IPO markets, in particular the reduction in listing approvals over the past three months, will mean fewer listings will take place for the rest of the year, according to Deloitte.

CMSG estimates that in the third quarter the A-share market had 263 listings, raising 323.4 billion yuan, versus 300 IPOs raising 485.4 billion yuan in the same period last year, representing a 12 per cent drop in number and 33 per cent decline in funds raised.

The US Fed earlier this week decided not to hike interest rates, but indicated one more rise could come later this year. Higher interest rate environment will continue to add uncertainty to the market, said Au.

“As we wait for market fundamentals to improve, it is a good time to think about how to attract overseas companies to Hong Kong,” said Au.

The government should enhance connectivity with the mainland and enrich yuan-denominated investment products, while drawing equity investors to drive the Hong Kong ecosystem, Au added.

With the recent US$65 billion listing of SoftBank-owned chip maker Arm, whose US$5 billion IPO became the world’s biggest in the year to date, the Nasdaq exchange rose to third place. The mega listing of marketing automation firm, Klaviyo, in New York helped it secure fourth place while Abu Dhabi securities exchange took fifth place.

Midea Group, the world’s biggest home appliances maker, became the latest to join the pipeline following its plans to submit its application to the Hong Kong exchange for a listing that could raise more than US$1 billion.
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