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Foreign investors turn cautious on China’s property market as slowdown, political risks cloud outlook

  • Purchases this year have trailed the monthly pace seen in the past two years as US-China ties deteriorate and diplomatic row escalates
  • Shenzhen remains a favourite city despite the slower transaction volume

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Residential and office buildings in Shenzhen, Guangdong province, taken in September 2019. The city is a favourite among foreign investors despite slower overall transactions. Photo: Reuters
China’s economic slowdown and fraying ties with the US and other western governments have prompted foreign investors to temper their investment in local properties, according to Cushman & Wakefield.

They spent about 27.1 billion yuan (US$3.88 billion) on such assets this year as of June 30, the property consultancy said in a report. The 4.52 billion yuan monthly flow trailed the 6.76 billion yuan and 8 billion yuan pace recorded in 2019 and 2018, respectively.

“The tension between China and the US has really hurt the sentiment among foreign investors, some of whom are not familiar with such political turbulence,” said Alvin Yip, who oversees the capital markets for Greater China and Hong Kong at Cushman & Wakefield. “The uncertainties made them hesitate about raising their bets in the market.”
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US-China ties are breaking down after two years of trade war spilled over into a tech war, while a deepening diplomatic row led to the abrupt closure of each other’s consulates in Houston and Chengdu last month. The latest spat centres on TikTok, the wildly popular short-video app owned by Chinese technology firm ByteDance.

02:23

China calls US order to close Houston consulate ‘political provocation’

China calls US order to close Houston consulate ‘political provocation’

The cooling sentiment also came on the back of a historic slump in China’s coronavirus-ravaged economy in the first quarter, which drove office vacancy rates in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen to all-time highs while shopping mall rents nosedived. The economy has since rebounded 3.2 per cent last quarter.

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“Some investors, for example funds based in the US or the UK who are not familiar with the quick recovery of China’s consumption-driven economy, are taking a wait and see approach,” Yip said.

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