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China property
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China’s office market to see slow recovery in 2023 after slumping to 14-year low last year, as Beijing eases tech crackdown, analysts say

  • Several big firms have been adjusting their budgets and goals, which will lead to an expansion in businesses and workforce, resulting in an increase in demand and leasing volume, JLL executive says
  • Forecast comes after an almost 69 per cent decline in the overall net absorption volume for offices in 18 major Chinese cities last year

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A shopping and office complex in Beijing. China is now easing its regulatory crackdown on the technology sector, which will lead to an increase in demand for office space from technology companies, JLL says. Photo: AP
Yulu Ao
China’s office property market is expected to see a slow recovery this year after slumping to a 14-year low in 2022, analysts said.
An end to Beijing’s zero-Covid strategy and relaxation of restrictions on China’s technology industry will boost this sector, according to JLL. Technology companies have been the biggest occupiers and major demand drivers in China’s office market over the past decade.

“In our observation, several giant companies have been adjusting their budgets and goals, seeking new growth points, which would bring an expansion of businesses and the workforce, leading to an increase in demand and leasing volume,” said Mi Yang, head of office research for JLL China.

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The forecast comes after the Covid-19 pandemic, an economic downturn and a crackdown on the technology industry led to an almost 69 per cent decline in the overall net absorption volume for offices in 18 major Chinese cities last year, according to international property consultancy CBRE. Office space take-up fell to 2.34 million square metres in 2022 compared with 7.53 million square metres in 2021, also the lowest level since 2009, according to CBRE.

“The office rental volume driven by technology companies in the cities we track slumped over 50 per cent last year compared with 2021, sending the overall office demand in the country to a historical low in 2022,” said Shirley Hu, senior director of China research at CBRE.

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About 17 out of the 25 districts it tracks in cities across mainland China, where over a third of offices were occupied by technology enterprises, recorded rises in vacancy rates in the third quarter of 2022, according to a report released by CBRE last November. These districts included once hot office destinations such as Zhongguancun and Wangjing in Beijing’s Haidian district, Xuhui Riverside in Shanghai’s Xuhui district, and Houhai in Shenzhen’s Nanshan district.
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