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‘Two sessions’ 2023: China’s new premier and what stock investors want to hear from him

  • Li Qiang, tipped to succeed Premier Li Keqiang, is in the spotlight as China holds its biggest political gathering
  • Economy needs reinforcements even as it emerges stronger in 2023, according to most forecasts

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The ‘two sessions’ in March last year. Photo: AFP
Zhang Shidongin Shanghai
China’s most important political gathering this weekend is likely to unveil a new premier in waiting and candidates for other top government posts. Stock investors hope they will have the answers needed to revive China reopening bets.

The CSI 300 Index, which tracks the nation’s biggest listed companies in Shenzhen and Shanghai, has fallen 3 per cent over the past three weeks, halting a bull-run from late October that started as Beijing abandoned its zero-Covid curbs.

A series of spy balloon incidents and China’s ties with Russia have heightened geopolitical tensions, while investors have been left unconvinced by a mixed bag of corporate earnings reports from Post parent Alibaba Group Holding, NetEase and other Chinese technology companies.

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The National People’s Congress and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference, will hold their annual meetings – known as the “two sessions” – in Beijing from March 4. These typically last about two weeks. The market wants to see policy reinforcement to boost growth, according to Goldman Sachs, as China emerges from a punishing economic slowdown.

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The ‘two sessions’ explained: China’s most important political meetings of the year

The ‘two sessions’ explained: China’s most important political meetings of the year

“One of the appointments would be the challenge of [picking] the premier,” Timothy Moe, chief equity strategist for Asia-Pacific at the US bank, said at a media briefing in Hong Kong last week. “Is he going to be characterised as someone who will be much more economically-focused and friendly?”

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Li Qiang, currently ranked No 2 within the Communist Party, is the front runner to succeed Li Keqiang as the head of the State Council, or the cabinet that oversees key government departments and the central bank, according to market speculation.
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