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Standard Chartered and UBS bullish on Hong Kong, China stocks on policy support, earnings

Standard Chartered is overweight on allocations to Chinese equities, while UBS expects the premium between A and H shares to narrow further

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A man walks past an electronic display board at the Hong Kong stock exchange. Photo:  Xinhua
Zhang Shidongin ShanghaiandDaniel Renin Shanghai

Mainland Chinese and Hong Kong stocks will rise in the second half as Beijing’s policy support is expected to revive earnings growth, according to Standard Chartered and UBS Group.

Standard Chartered was overweight on allocations to Chinese equities due to the de-escalation of tariff tensions with the US following the signing of a framework agreement last week, the UK bank said in a report on the second-half outlook on Monday.

The bank said it preferred Chinese offshore stocks to onshore ones because many of them were growth companies that had strong upside potential and their valuations were lower than their peers in the US and Europe.

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Meanwhile, UBS predicted that the premium of mainland China-listed A shares to their Hong Kong counterparts would further narrow this year as more Chinese institutional investors hunted for bargains in Hong Kong via the Stock Connect trading link.

A large screen shows the latest stock exchange and economy data in Shanghai. Photo: EPA-EFE
A large screen shows the latest stock exchange and economy data in Shanghai. Photo: EPA-EFE

“We see increasing buying interest in H shares by mainland-based mutual funds,” said Meng Lei, a strategist with the Swiss Bank, on Monday, referring to the Hong Kong-listed stocks. “The price gap between A and H shares is set to narrow further.”

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Standard Chartered set a 12-month target of 25,500 for the Hang Seng Index, implying roughly a 5 per cent gain from the benchmark’s current level. The Hang Seng Index advanced 20 per cent in the first half of the year, closing at 24,072.28 on Monday.

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