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Hong Kong stocks snap 3-day decline as weak US jobs data raises bets on Fed rate cut

Sentiment recovers as investors see a September rate cut as a done deal, while mainland stocks recuperate lost ground from tumult

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The Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building is seen in Washington on June 14, 2022. Photo: Reuters
Zhang Shidongin Shanghai
Hong Kong stocks rebounded from a three-day decline and secured a weekly gain for the benchmark index on Friday, as soft data on the US jobs market entrenched bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this month and mainland equities recuperated the losses from the biggest sell-off since the start of a bull run.

The Hang Seng Index rose 1.4 per cent to 25,417.98 at the close, capping a 1.4 per cent gain for the week. The Hang Seng Tech Index added 2 per cent.

The CSI 300 Index of China’s onshore stocks climbed 2.2 per cent and the Shanghai Composite Index rebounded 1.2 per cent, recovering all the lost ground from a rout sparked by bubble concerns.

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Hang Lung Properties advanced 6.1 per cent to HK$8.49 and Wharf Real Estate Investment rallied 3.9 per cent to HK$22.62 on expectations the city’s monetary authority will follow the US in cutting rates, spurring home sales. Tencent Holdings, the second-biggest weighting on the Hang Seng Index, rose 2.2 per cent to HK$605.50, while Alibaba Group Holding gained 1.5 per cent to HK$131.80. Xinyi Solar Holdings rallied 7.5 per cent to HK$3.71 on optimism that the downturn in the photovoltaic industry is behind it.

Sentiment on Hong Kong stocks got a fillip after the S&P 500 index rose to a record on Thursday, with traders pricing in a 99 per cent probability of a quarter-point cut in the borrowing cost at the Fed’s policy meeting on September 18. A private report showed that US payroll increases missed estimates, while jobless claims rose to the highest since June. The string of data came just a day before the official non-farm payroll report due Friday night. A soft reading will cement a Fed cut, with some traders even expecting a half-point reduction.

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“Markets took that mix as evidence of a gentler landing – the labour market losing steam but not stalling out, keeping the September rate-cut drumbeat alive,” said Stephen Innes, a managing partner at SPI Asset Management in Bangkok. “Equity traders are playing the Goldilocks script, betting on a soft payroll print to hand them another record close.”

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