Mainland firms expand property footprint in Hong Kong, set to fuel price rises
Mainland institutional investment hit $6.6 billion in 2016, according to DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield
Mainland Chinese companies have piled into Hong Kong property in 2015-2016, outbidding some of the territory’s most powerful developers to buy 29 per cent of land sold for development in one of the world’s most expensive real estate markets, according to new industry figures.
That is almost a six-fold increase from their purchases of just 5 per cent of the land sold in public land auctions in the years 2013 and 2014, the data from real estate broker Midland Realty shows.
The buying frenzy comes at a time when home prices in Hong Kong have reached new record highs, bucking government cooling measures, and potentially fuelling discontent in a city whose population is already under strain from high living costs and a widening wealth gap.
Nearly 200,000 Hong Kong residents, half of them under the age of 35, have resorted to living in wire cages, half of a bunk bed, or partitioned apartments often smaller than car park spaces.
The purchases by the likes of HNA Group and China Overseas Land & Investment drove mainland institutional investment in real estate to $6.6 billion last year, according to DTZ/Cushman & Wakefield, compared with just $1.46 billion in 2015.
The land grab is set to drive sky-high apartment prices up even further, realtors said.
Denis Ma, head of research at real estate services firm JLL in Hong Kong, said luxury apartments to be built on HNA Group’s latest plot of land, purchased for $713 million at the former airport site of Kai Tak, could fetch US$3,200 per square foot, almost 40 per cent higher than residential units sold recently in the area.
Hong Kong’s average price per square foot for luxury property, at $3,000 is ranked second most expensive in the world, trailing just after Monaco, according to Christie’s International Real Estate. By comparison, London is the third most expensive at $1,930 while New York is at $1,860.
“There is a high chance they (mainland companies) will reset the benchmark in areas like Kai Tak,” Ma said of the district overlooking the city’s Victoria Harbour.
Hong Kong will auction a site valued at as much as $2.2 billion in the first quarter, the first sale of commercial land in the Central business district in more than 20 years, and it is widely expected to be snapped up by a mainland Chinese developer, market participants said.
The dominance of Hong Kong’s wealthy property tycoons is increasingly being challenged as many are unwilling to compete with spiralling prices.
Some Hong Kong developers “said they would not bid for land at the moment, because the price has gone beyond what’s reasonable. We share very similar views,” Ronnie Chan, chairman of one of Hong Kong’s biggest real estate companies, Hang Lung Properties, said at an earnings briefing this week.
Thomas Wu, the managing director of another major Hong Kong real estate company, Hopewell Holdings, told an earnings conference this week his company would not actively participate in the Hong Kong property sector as prices had “deviated from the market”.
The strong rise in overseas property investment and an increase in deals for other foreign assets has alarmed Chinese authorities and they have stepped up measures to stem capital outflows in the face of a weakening currency.
The crackdown by Beijing has delayed some deals, though many mainland companies already had offshore assets and financing, property advisers said. Hong Kong is the second most favoured destination for Chinese outbound deals after the US.
Stanley Wong, executive director of capital markets at CBRE Hong Kong, said three transactions that his company was advising on, involving land parcels and office space, had been held up, pending capital from mainland China. The bidders were in the property, insurance and finance sectors, he said, adding that the deal size ranged from $129 million to $387 million.
“In the past when these large companies needed to take capital here, it would take State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) two to three weeks to approve,” Wong said.
“But now we still have not heard back from SAFE ... it’s already been two to three months.”
Chinese developers listed in Hong Kong, including China Vanke, Country Garden and CIFI saidtheir overseas investment plans had not been affected by Beijing’s clampdown, as they had sufficient access to offshore funds.
“While the capital control measures definitely have a certain degree of impact on the market, the impact is only limited to new capital inflows,” said Marcos Chan, head of research at CBRE Hong Kong, southern China and Taiwan.
Thomas Lam, senior director at property consultancy Knight Frank, said the arrival of any new players from mainland China would make it even harder for mid- and small-sized local property developers to acquire new land.
“The rules of the game have changed,” he said.