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China’s carmakers are beating internet start-ups in the battle for supremacy in the world’s largest electric vehicle market

  • Conventional carmakers have grabbed a bigger market share, China Passenger Car Association data shows
  • Established carmakers ‘have not been eclipsed by Tesla and the Tesla challengers yet’

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Geely Automobile Holdings’ cars queue to enter a cargo vessel at Ningbo Zhoushan port in Zhejiang province on January 2, 2019, bound for export. Photo Reuters
Daniel Ren

Beijing’s encouragement has fired up China’s new energy vehicle sector, pitting start-up electric vehicle (EV) makers against its more established conventional carmakers.

But while US carmaker Tesla has reported rising sales and three New York-listed Chinese EV companies have seen their stocks skyrocket recently, industry observers say the established players will overtake these carmakers on their own turf.

“Conventional carmakers still have an upper hand over the upstart EV makers in terms of production capabilities and sales networks,” said Peter Chen, an engineer with car components company TRW. “They have not been eclipsed by Tesla and the Tesla challengers yet.”

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Bestselling models in November
Bestselling models in November

China’s new-energy vehicle (NEV) segment, which covers pure electric, hybrid and fuel cell-powered cars, was the lone bright spot worldwide in the second half of this year, as lockdowns forced factories in the West to shut because of the coronavirus pandemic. Beijing’s cash subsidies and tax exemptions also played their part.

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The segment is now expected to report sales of 1.8 million cars next year, compared with an estimated 1.29 million for the whole of 2020. Moreover, according to a consensus among industry officials, NEV sales are expected to hit 3 million in 2025, more than double this year’s projection.
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