Oil prices soar as OPEC finalises output cut deal

PUBLISHED : Thursday, 01 December, 2016, 1:50am
UPDATED : Thursday, 01 December, 2016, 9:44am

Oil prices soared more than 8 per cent on Wednesday as some of the world’s largest oil producers agreed to curb oil output for the first time since 2008 in a last-ditch bid to support prices.

Crude prices, however, are unlikely to skyrocket in reaction to the deal, but will instead take measured steps higher, traders and analysts said.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed to cut production to 32.5 million barrels per day, Kuwait’s oil minister said. The cuts include Iraq reducing output by 200,000 bpd to 4.351 million bpd beginning in January. The country had previously resisted cuts, providing a hurdle to an agreement.

The cut was at the low end of production of a preliminary agreement struck in Algiers in September, and reduces production from a current 33.64 million bpd.

Non-OPEC member Russia has agreed to cut output by 300,000 bpd. OPEC will meet with non-OPEC producers on December 9.

US West Texas Intermediate crude futures for January delivery rose $3.93 to US$49.16 a barrel, an 8.7 per cent gain at 12:09 p.m. Eastern [1709 GMT]. The move was the largest one-day gain since February.

Brent crude futures for January delivery rose $3.73 to $50.11 a barrel, a 8.0 per cent gain. That contract expires Wednesday. Brent futures for February rose 8.8 per cent, or $4.16 to $51.48 a barrel.

Goldman Sachs sees oil in low US$40s if OPEC deal fails

“It’s going to take time to see whose going to abide by those rules,” said Oliver Sloup, director of managed futures at In the past, not all producers have complied with agreements on supply cuts, Sloup said. As a result, there is scepticism about how closely the production caps will be adhered to.

Kuwait, Venezuela and Algeria have agreed to monitor compliance with the OPEC agreement.

The market will grow in a measured way because traders with short positions have already exited crude futures, according to Dominic Chirichella, senior partner at the Energy Management Institute.

“There’s going to be an air of cautiousness and rightfully so,” he said. “I think the market is going to move to the upside, but in a metered, cautious manner over a period of time.”

The oil rally ricocheted through the market, with stocks and bond prices reacting to the move.

US-listed oil companies including Exxon Mobil, Chevron and Schlumberger saw shares rise as crude prices climbed. Some US producers saw shares spike more than 10 per cent, including Pioneer Natural Resources, Hess Corp and Anadarko Petroleum .

A weekly government report on US crude oil stockpiles had little sway in the market, which remained focused on the OPEC deal. US crude stockpiles unexpectedly fell 884,000 barrels in the week, compared with forecasts of a 636,000-barrel increase.