UBS raises H-shares forecast as mainland capital inflow surges
Hang Seng China Enterprises Index tipped to end the year at 9,800
UBS has raised its annual forecasts for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (H-shares), suggesting the index will close 2016 at 9,800, due to increasing amounts of capital pouring in from institutional mainland investors.
The index gained 0.3 per cent or 30.77 points to close at 9,093.02 on Wednesday.
“Capital from Chinese funds, insurance companies and other institutional investors surged from late June to early July,” said Wenjie Lu, an H-shares strategist at the Swiss bank.
Given the ample liquidity in the mainland and deteriorating credit risks in China’s corporate sectors, Lu said H-shares have become more attractive to Chinese institutional investors.
“Most capital is being invested in undervalued stocks, which is a more stable and sustainable source than capital from retail investors. That strong support will continue,” Lu added.
Most capital is being invested in undervalued stocks, which is a more stable and sustainable source than capital from retail investors. That strong support will continue
In addition,UBS expects the fundamentals of H-share companies to improve due to increasing overseas mergers and acquisitions.