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BusinessMarkets

To trade or to halt? That is the question confounding global markets as stock indexes plunge amid pandemic

  • Most stock markets in the world have circuit breakers, as well as limit-up and limit-down controls in place to even out volatility, calm jitters or rein in euphoria
  • Closing markets and ceasing transactions, especially if it’s done without proper communication, merely delays the inevitable outcome, brokers say

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A trader wears a mask on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on March 20 as the building prepares to close indefinitely due to the coronavirus outbreak. Photo: Reuters
Chad BrayandAlison Tudor-Ackroyd

As governments from Auckland to San Francisco took the unprecedented step of ordering residents to stay home to contain the coronavirus pandemic, financial regulators faced a vexing question: what to do with the stock markets, especially the ones that still employ humans on trading floors?

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on Monday closed its iconic trading floor and transferred all transactions to its electronic trading platform after two people working at the world’s largest financial market caught the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, the pathogen that has claimed more than 15,000 lives so far globally. The bourses of Manila and Colombo suspended trading last week in stops and starts, to disastrous ends.

Whether to halt transactions altogether, or maintain trading-as-usual purely online, had confounded financial regulators in recent weeks, as worldwide stock indexes moved inversely with coronavirus cases and death toll. As one market index after another continued to plumb new lows, brokers, strategists and bourse operators alike agreed on one thing: the consequence of stopping transactions entirely would be worse than any short-term breather, both to economic stability and to stock prices.
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“If you stop investors from cutting their losses, the result would be even more” losses, because panic selling would set in whenever the market reopens, said Geo Securities’s chief executive Francis Lun Sheung-nim in Hong Kong. “You should let the market run its course until common sense takes over.”

The conundrum has become ever more difficult, after the US Federal Reserve’s two emergency rate cuts in two weeks failed to calm market panic. With Europe surpassing China as the new epicentre of the global pandemic, and the US soaring to number three in confirmed cases, the spectre of a global recession is coming clearer into focus.
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