China’s world-beating stock market tops US$10 trillion for first time since 2015 as economy shakes off Covid-19 pain
- Economic recovery and success in containing Covid-19 have lifted the combined market caps of Chinese stocks to new threshold
- China’s market capitalisation briefly surpassed US$10.05 trillion in 2015 before the bubble burst
The combined values of shares trading on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges reached US$10.04 trillion on Monday, according to Bloomberg data. The market value briefly touched US$10.05 trillion in June 2015, the only other time it has reached the threshold, before a catastrophic meltdown erased half that value in the subsequent three months.
China’s market is now the world’s second-largest behind the US, which is capitalised at US$38.3 trillion. Japan and Hong Kong are ranked third and fourth, with market caps of US$6.2 trillion and US$5.9 trillion respectively.
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China’s economy returned to growth in the second quarter with 3.2 per cent expansion, bouncing back from a 6.8 per cent decline in the previous three-month period. Gross domestic product likely expanded by 5.2 per cent last quarter, according to the market consensus. The GDP report is due on October 19.
While the listed companies still posted a decline in second-quarter earnings, the decrease significantly narrowed from that in the first three months and analysts estimated full-year growth would return to positive territory.
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The run-up on Chinese stocks went through twists and turns. The Shanghai Composite slumped by as much as 13 per cent in March, almost dragging the gauge into bear territory as the market was ravaged by the outbreak of Covid-19, which was first reported in the central city of Wuhan.
The market recouped all the losses afterwards and tested a two-year high, as policymakers imposed strict lockdown measures and ramped up efforts to shore up growth.
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The breakthrough in the market cap came after Chinese stocks were trading sideways over the past three months, with simmering tension between Beijing and Washington dampening sentiment. The momentum will strengthen if September economic data delivers evidence of continuing recovery, according to brokerages including New Times Securities.
Even after the post-holiday upsurge, the valuation is not too stretched. The Shanghai Composite is valued at 18.2 times earnings currently, compared with 25 before the market crash five years ago, Bloomberg data showed.
“The market will probably look forward to a new round of gains, should the coming data confirm the start of a new inventory cycle,” said Fan Jituo, an analyst at New Times Securities.