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China’s sovereign bonds soar as shaky economic growth outlook dampens risk appetite
- Yields are at their lowest in at least two decades as a sluggish stock market and a long-running property downturn make ‘ultra-safe’ investment more attractive
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A powerful rally in China’s government bonds that has pushed yields to a two-decade low shows no signs of easing amid persistent worries about the outlook for growth. A sluggish stock market and a long-running property downturn continue to dampen risk appetite.
The yield on 10-year sovereign bonds slipped to 2.21 per cent on Thursday, a level not seen since at least as far back as 2002, bringing the drop this year to 35 basis points, according to Bloomberg data. Yields on 20-year and 30-year Chinese government bonds are down 41 and 36 basis points this year respectively, hovering around record lows.
The unrelenting demand for these risk-free debt instruments issued by Beijing comes amid a shaky recovery in the world’s second largest economy. The latest government data on Thursday showed a sharp slow down in industrial profits growth last month because of weak domestic demand, reinforcing market jitters after a mixed bag of macro data for May.
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The poor performance of risk assets further eroded investor confidence. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.9 per cent on Thursday, dipping below the 3,000 psychological floor and erasing all of its 2024 gains, making it one of the worst-performing major indices in Asia, Bloomberg data shows.
“It shows the market still expects growth to be muted going forward,” Dong Chen, chief Asia strategist and head of Asia research at Pictet Wealth Management in Hong Kong, said in a media briefing on Thursday.
Domestic investors have grown more wary about the country’s growth outlook in recent months, Goldman Sachs said in a note last week, citing recent meetings with onshore clients.
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