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Opinion
Chart Book
by David McBain
Chart Book
by David McBain

Chart of the day: On the retreat

The yen's sharp reversal has taken centre stage on the foreign exchange front in recent weeks.

The yen's sharp reversal has taken centre stage on the foreign exchange front in recent weeks. However, with the yuan-won remaining in lock-step with the US dollar-yen, there has been an equally sharp reversal in the case of won against the yuan (more than 8 per cent since the start of September). While momentum trends point to further won weakness, the degree of optimism built into yuan-won suggests increased potential for contrarian resistance to emerge as highs for the year are tested. Yuan-won has settled into longer-term range of 162-186 since 2010. In the near term, however, resistance may begin to emerge at 178.8, as extended optimism runs into an important Fibonacci level (marking a 62 per cent retracement of the yuan-won's 2013-14 decline).

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