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Stock through train could power A-share expansion

Regulatory hurdles and local investor scepticism remain key barriers in turning mainland securities into globally accepted investment products

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A poster outside a bank in Tsim Sha Tsui promotes the Shanghai-Hong Kong Connect stock scheme, which starts today. Photo: Robert Ng

History is in the making with the launch of the 550 billion yuan (HK$695.7 billion) scheme to directly link the stock markets of Hong Kong and Shanghai that is scheduled to take effect when markets open today.

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Coupled to a landmark reform to scrap the cap on yuan currency conversion by Hong Kong citizens, the so-called "through train" could be the engine of a dramatic global expansion of equity investment in mainland securities.

Vincent Chan, the head of Credit Suisse's China equity research, estimates that world equity funds invested in the mainland's A-share market will more than double by 2020 to about US$112 billion from the US$49 billion today.

But regulatory hurdles and local investor scepticism remain key barriers to progress to turn mainland securities - and the yuan - into internationally accepted investment instruments.

Stewart Aldcroft, a senior adviser and managing director at Citi Securities & Fund Services, said some international funds might not be able to take advantage of the stock connect because of a lack of clarity around differing regulatory regimes.

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"The regulatory authorities in both Luxembourg and Dublin have been reluctant to give a blanket approval to the custody holding of A shares via the system as proposed," Aldcroft told the .

Securing such approvals is key as the stock connect scheme is seen by potential investors as a way for institutions that lack quotas under existing fund schemes to access the mainland stock market.

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