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Taiwan
Opinion

Any strategy by Beijing to leave Taiwan stripped of allies may well backfire

Michal Thim says Taiwan appears unlikely to lose sleep over losing Sao Tome ties to China, and attempts to leave Taipei diplomatically isolated may work against unification hopes

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Members of a pro-independence group march with flags of Taiwan around pro-China demonstrators holding a rally calling for peaceful reunification, in Taipei on May 14. Photo: Reuters
Michal Thim
In 1971, when representatives of the Republic of China walked out of the UN in protest over what would likely lead to expulsion anyway, Taipei still possessed greater recognition than Beijing.

Competition for recognition between Taipei and Beijing, which became known as “cheque book diplomacy”, has been an extension of cross-strait conflict to a global diplomatic arena. South Korea, Singapore, and South Africa were among notable nations to switch recognition to Beijing in the 1990s.

Thus, it is no wonder that many see Beijing pulling strings whenever one of Taiwan’s “diplomatic allies” switches recognition. Sao Tome and Principe recently announced it would establish diplomatic relations with China. What followed was a very predictable string of events, including the termination of diplomatic ties with the West African nation by Taipei, Beijing’s acceptance of the recognition, and accusations and defiance on Taiwan’s side.

Watch: Taipei loses another ally

Unsurprisingly, analysts speculate that the change in recognition is Beijing’s punishment following the election victory of the Democratic Progressive Party and newly elected President Tsai Ing-wen’s implicit refusal to embrace the so-called “1992 consensus”. Poaching Taiwan’s “diplomatic allies” has been named among the tools Beijing could use to punish the new administration, along with cuts in tourists to Taiwan and a increased of military exercises near the island.
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Foreign Minister Wang Yi of China shakes hands with his Sao Tome counterpart Urbino Botelho after signing an agreement to restore diplomatic relations, in Beijing on December 26. Photo: AFP
Foreign Minister Wang Yi of China shakes hands with his Sao Tome counterpart Urbino Botelho after signing an agreement to restore diplomatic relations, in Beijing on December 26. Photo: AFP

Taiwan losing out in ‘diplomatic war’ with Beijing as Sao Tome severs ties with island

Tsai’s predecessor Ma Ying-jeou had touted a “diplomatic truce” with Beijing as one of the demonstrable achievements of his cross-strait outreach in his eight years in power. But the so-called truce was probably just time-limited concession for the Kuomintang-led government.
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