How North Korean missiles are helping to mask Kim Jong-un’s fears
Elizabeth Shim says massive military parades and the dogged pursuit of an unverifiable nuclear arsenal are just defensive propaganda from a regime nursing defeats in soft power and digital influence
In the days that followed, analysts warned of rapid advancements being made in Pyongyang’s weapons programme, and explained why the display of at least two new missile systems signify progress. Very few people, however, have made it a point to tie what former Los Alamos National Laboratory director Siegfried Hecker has called North Korea’s “menacing arsenal” to momentous domestic changes in the country.
Watch: Spectacular military parade marks founder’s birthday in Pyongyang
North Korea claims to produce weapons for defence purposes but, beneath the display of force, the regime is hiding deeply entrenched vulnerabilities under a torrent of simulations.
Beneath the façade of a revived “our-style socialism” visible in its showcase capital, and perhaps even under the veneer of abject poverty, market forces have been at play, supplying the population not only with daily necessities, but also with pirated media that provides a secret window to the outside world.
Much more than a bar of soap or pack of instant noodles in the country’s grey markets, moving images are allowing North Koreans to forge a relation with advanced capitalist societies like South Korea.
This is good news, but it has prompted North Korea to wage an unending propaganda war against its people to reinforce its own sovereignty, even as it is unable to provide an acceptable level of food rations or supply a living wage at many state-owned enterprises.
There is now evidence young North Koreans keep up with the latest trends in the South or watch Hollywood movies delivered to them on flash drives. Many defectors have had some exposure to illegal South Korean media, and the films sometimes motivate them to leave, because the representation is credible enough in a world where reality and images are increasingly exchanging masks.
North Korea conducts large artillery drill simulating attack on Seoul, Tokyo
In a technology-mediated virtual space, North Korea even briefly competed with the visual spectacle of young South Korean singers in the digital sphere. Kim, for example, tried to adapt to the changes by commissioning the Moranbong Band in 2012, but the ensemble of young women sporting trendy haircuts and short skirts, while playing upbeat music on electric violins, may never have been a match for secretly influential K-pop groups like Girls’ Generation – at the peak of their popularity in Asia at the time.
Watch: Moranbong Band presents “My country is the best”
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It is also worth noting how public North Korea has become with its weapons announcements in the decades following the famine of the 1990s. Hecker, a US scientist who has visited North Korea seven times since 2004, told me last week during a phone press conference that the regime never shared anything with its public about building a bomb before 2003.
The previous year, Kim Jong-il was struggling with unofficial markets and the information flows bypassing and overwhelming the state. A solution had to be found, and North Korea probably turned to touting its weapons programme to artificially revive an enemy and mask inherent limits to state power, which includes an inability to use nuclear bombs against countries like the United States, because that would mean the end of the regime.
It is in this absence of confirmed knowledge that North Korea’s simulation of its weapons programme – built on injections of truth – fills in the missing gaps of information by outrunning a hazy and unverifiable reality, while concealing the fact that the power Kim craves is slipping away.
Elizabeth Shim is a journalist and a member of the US-Korea NextGen Scholars Programme, an initiative of the Centre for Strategic and International Studies Korea Chair in Washington and the University of Southern California’s Korean Studies Institute