North Korea’s Kim Jong-un knows how to wield nuclear power, as even Trump has realised
Nicholas Khoo says Kim Jong-un’s aggressive pursuit of a nuclear weapons programme shows he knows it is the ultimate deterrent, and a newly mellow tone from Donald Trump is proof of that
In 1950, founder and supreme leader Kim Il-sung triggered the Korean war, which ended in 1953 with an armistice, not a peace treaty. So, in a very real sense, the war is not over. His grandson Kim Jong-un now rules, and is hell-bent on perfecting the ability to launch an intercontinental ballistic missile with a nuclear warhead on it.
So, how should we interpret the present Kim’s behaviour? It is not unusual to hear him characterised as either crazy or irrational.
Donald Trump had made his views clear. Speaking last year as a presidential candidate, he said: “If you look at North Korea, he’s like a maniac.” More recently, Nikki Haley, the US ambassador to the UN, noted that, “we are not dealing with a rational person”.
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It’s a pretty good assumption that Kim wants to maintain his dictatorship, and all its benefits.
And, given the decrepit state of the economy he inherited, the best way to maintain power is through possession of the ultimate deterrent, nuclear weapons that can strike major cities in South Korea, Japan and even the US.
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To this end, North Korea has conducted five nuclear tests since 2006, along with countless missile tests. Given the regime’s progress in developing a nuclear deterrent against the US, it is little wonder that, 100 days after assuming the presidency, even Trump has come around on Kim.
So, in pursuing a nuclear capability, the present North Korean leader may be many things, but he is most certainly neither crazy nor irrational.
Dr Nicholas Khoo is senior lecturer in the Department of Politics, University of Otago, where he is director of the Master’s degree in International Studies. His research focuses on Chinese foreign policy and Asian security