Artificial intelligence will change the job market and Hong Kong isn’t ready
Janet Pau writes that Hong Kong is behind its Asian neighbours in how well it is preparing for artificial intelligence, as well as how flexibly its job market will respond to automation
AI technologies using machines increasingly able to perform human tasks more quickly and accurately, generating results or insights when given access to large amounts of data, can make manufacturing and services more efficient and make people’s lives more convenient. AI can help Hong Kong diversify its economy and provide opportunities for the city’s young educated people to develop innovative ideas, gain employment and build wealth.
But Hong Kong fares poorly in the Asia Business Council’s Asian Index of Artificial Intelligence, which uses 11 data indicators to analyse eight Asian economies’ preparedness for and resilience to an AI-led future. China topped the overall ranking with a big lead. Singapore and India followed. Japan, Taiwan and South Korea ranked in the middle, with Hong Kong ahead of only Indonesia.
An economy’s AI preparedness is reflected in the ability of companies and talent to capitalise on opportunities brought about by AI. The weak link between research and industry is shown in Hong Kong’s low overall start-up activity and AI start-up equity funding. China leads other Asian economies in total equity funding for start-ups focused on AI, according to the online database Crunchbase.
A relatively small share of students in Hong Kong’s top universities study science, technology, engineering and maths. Such students are needed to form a pipeline of future tech workers and entrepreneurs. A larger share of students choose STEM subjects in top Chinese universities, and the Chinese comprise an outsized share of international students in the United States earning advanced degrees in these subjects.
Hong Kong’s strength is in the quality of its AI publications, with higher education institutions making significant contributions to AI research based on the amount of citable documents about AI in Scopus, the world’s largest database of peer-reviewed scientific publications. China has more citable documents, but Hong Kong has far higher citation impact, an oft-used measure of publication quality.
AI resilience is economies’ ability to adapt to and withstand broader structural changes brought about by AI. Hong Kong’s secretary for innovation and technology announced plans this year to offer financial and tax incentives to attract technology enterprises, especially those specialising in big data, internet of things and AI, though details remain sparse. Current policies are much less proactive than in Singapore, Japan and mainland China.
Hong Kong’s employment structure is dominated by sectors such as retail, food service, logistics, finance and insurance, with job types ripe for disruption by AI. AI can in several seconds interpret commercial loan agreements that take lawyers and loan officers more than 300,000 hours of work each year. This technology is a threat to jobs traditionally considered high-skill.
Acting on several key priorities can help. Workers must be trained to work alongside machines, ideally by businesses needing such skills. Thoughtful economic and social policies can encourage AI design to be beneficial to humans and ease the transition for workers whose jobs may be eliminated by AI. Education and vocational training institutes need to prepare those at different skill levels to perform work functions computers cannot do, solve unpredictable problems and learn to understand and interpret more complex data. Education reform in Hong Kong is also urgent, starting with equipping teachers and developing relevant curricula to provide future generations with the complex skills and flexible thinking required in the 21st-century economy.
Finally, Hong Kong lacks large companies investing in developing AI, which means it needs a better ecosystem of funding and partnerships with larger markets like China or the Association of Southeast Asian Nations to increase opportunities for homegrown and overseas AI talent. Doing so would better position Hong Kong to tap into this new source of growth, productivity and prosperity.
Janet Pau is programme director of the Asia Business Council