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Hong Kong economy
Opinion
Peter Kammerer

Shades Off | There’s money in property, and that’s good enough for Hong Kong

  • Officials talk of diversifying the economy, but our tycoons, many of whom made their fortune in real estate, are admired for their success and indispensable to the government for their contribution to its coffers. Talk will remain just talk

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A Hong Kong couple pose for wedding photos against the city’s skyline. High housing prices make buying a home an impossible dream for the most Hongkongers, even if property tycoons are looked up to for their success. Photo: AFP

I’ve little doubt what the typical Hongkonger would do if he or she won a lottery jackpot. Firstly, they would be secretive about who they tell for fear of having to unnecessarily part with cash. A portion would probably go to charity, but the biggest chunk would go into buying property – a large flat for the lucky winner, the rest for lifelong rental income. It’s an idea that flies in the face of good financial investment advice, which stresses the importance of diversification to limit risk. 

The logic is that there is no better investment than property, which will usually go up in value and if down, only momentarily before resuming the march upwards. Americans and now Australians can relate otherwise and, of course, there is Hong Kong’s own economic downturns during the outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome in 2003 and the Asian economic crisis of 1998 to also prove otherwise.

But memories are short and anyway, the government, for all its talk of the future lying in innovation and technology, is firmly wedded to the same thinking.

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The islands it intends to build off Lantau to create a further 1,000 hectares of land are promoted as being about public housing, but there is already ample land in the New Territories that could be acquired with just a little will and determination for such a purpose. About 25 per cent   of Hong Kong’s developed land area came from reclamation and its sale, and the taxing of properties put on it contributed hugely to government revenue, so it is natural to assume that the latest project is merely a continuation of the same strategy.
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Land and its use is, after all, where the bulk of government revenue comes from, as has been the case since the British colonial government hit on the idea of reclamation to create extra revenue in the latter half of the 19th century.

The latest Forbes magazine’s list of the richest Hongkongers gives good insight: among the top 20, 15 make a large chunk of their wealth from property. It is in the government’s interests that these tycoons continue to grow their businesses, as it generates even more revenue for civil servant salaries and pensions, as well as public coffers. Unsurprisingly, property prices and rents consistently remain the most expensive in the world and show no sign of falling, financial trauma and the possibility of killer disease aside. And why should they, if the government wants and needs them to be high for the sake of its balance sheets?
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