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Australia
Opinion
Bob Carr

Opinion | Australia could be the big loser in a US-China trade deal, not that Donald Trump seems to care

  • Australia sticking its neck out for the US on the issue of Chinese telecoms giant Huawei will not stop America from striking a trade deal with China that could result in Australian exports suffering

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Illustration: Craig Stephens
“Let’s keep our fingers crossed”. That was the response of US President Donald Trump’s ambassador, Arthur B. Culvahouse Jnr, to a question vital for Australia: what happens if the US and China strike a trade deal that boosts Chinese purchases of American goods by cutting back on imports from Australia?

Vital because China soaks up one-third of Australian exports. The Australian budget released last week was replete with tax cuts; the nation has gone more than 25 years without a recession. Australia would not be boasting this without access to China’s growth.

The US ambassador’s response confirms that the Trump administration wants to close the US$400 billion trade gap with China and, in a settlement between the world’s biggest economies, Australia’s interests won’t count.

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Indeed, Australia’s ambassador to Washington, Joe Hockey, seems to have missed the point of his very mission. He was quoted on February 3 urging America not to settle for a “pyrrhic victory” against China, implying that the US should go all out in its trade war. That a deeper trade war might hurt Australia didn’t seem to figure in his understanding of diplomatic duties.

Joe Hockey, then Australia’s treasurer, holds up his pen as he becomes the first to sign articles of association to help set up the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank during a ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing in 2015. Recently, Hockey was quoted encouraging the US to go all out in its trade war with China. Photo: AFP
Joe Hockey, then Australia’s treasurer, holds up his pen as he becomes the first to sign articles of association to help set up the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank during a ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing in 2015. Recently, Hockey was quoted encouraging the US to go all out in its trade war with China. Photo: AFP
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Liquefied natural gas (LNG) underlines Australian vulnerability. It’s widely assumed that, as part of a deal with the US, China will commit to buying more American LNG.

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