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Brexit
Opinion
Andrew Hammond

Opinion | As Theresa May’s Brexit deal lies in tatters, the EU should remember it’s not blameless

  • Andrew Hammond says the incompetence of Theresa May’s government has been on full display this week, but the European Union has also displayed a lack of imagination in negotiations

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Brexit backers and opponents gather outside the Houses of Parliament in London on January 14. Ahead of the failed Brexit vote on Tuesday, Prime Minister Theresa May warned that the UK’s withdrawal from the EU may not happen at all if the plan were rejected, thus undermining faith in the democratic process. Photo: EPA-EFE
UK Prime Minister Theresa May suffered a devastating defeat on Tuesday on her Brexit withdrawal deal, losing by a massive 432 votes to 202. Westminster is in turmoil, following the biggest defeat for any government in over a century. But, the ballot should also be a wake-up call for Brussels and the EU-27. 

British governments have only been defeated in the House of Commons by more than 100 votes three times in the past century, and Tuesday’s vote easily exceeded those. All those previous votes were in 1924, underlining what a historic reversal Tuesday's vote represented, and why May’s remaining authority has been shredded.

With May's Brexit withdrawal deal now looking dead, and a change of government ever more likely, pressure will also intensify on Brussels to show more political imagination to reach a resolution to the impasse. This includes potentially extending the two-year Article 50 process, which would require the unanimous support of the 27 members of the EU, with current end-of-March deadlines fast approaching.

More imagination and flexibility are especially important given that all sides want to avoid a no-deal scenario. This is because forecasts indicate such an outcome could be very damaging not just to the UK, but also Ireland and continental Europe.
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As a remainer in 2016, who wishes Brussels well and wants to see Britain continue to be in a close, cooperative relationship with the EU going forward, it has been painful to watch May’s hapless administration make mistake after mistake with the Brexit process. A different tone in negotiations could have made a real difference, alongside a coherent negotiating strategy that didn't artificially draw so many supposed “red lines” so early.

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Yet, the backstory here is that the EU itself has not played a faultless game, either. This is despite the plaudits it rightfully receives for proving to be a far more disciplined, effective negotiator than many in London anticipated two years ago.

British Prime Minister Theresa May and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker leave for a meeting to discuss draft agreements on Brexit, at the commission headquarters in Brussels on November 24, 2018. Photo: Reuters
British Prime Minister Theresa May and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker leave for a meeting to discuss draft agreements on Brexit, at the commission headquarters in Brussels on November 24, 2018. Photo: Reuters
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