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Brexit apart, Spain’s political uncertainty is a microcosm of the euro zone’s deepening troubles
- The Spanish prime minister’s call for an early general election is symptomatic of governmental instability and stagnating growth across the euro zone. A no-deal Brexit is not a shock the single currency region could bear easily
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Andrew Hammond is an associate at LSE IDEAS (the Centre for International Affairs, Diplomacy and Strategy) at the London School of Economics and Political Science.
Political parties in Spain will enter campaign mode this week after Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez on Friday called for an early general election, the third such ballot in as many years. However, far from being an exception, the latest political uncertainty in the euro zone’s fourth-largest economy comes as there are mounting signs of political instability and stagnating growth in other large European economies like Germany, France and Italy.
With the euro zone “celebrating” its 20th anniversary this year, the single currency area stands on the brink of yet another downturn. This is even before the possibility next month of a no-deal Brexit which could be a significant economic shock across the continent.
The call for a general election in Spain, to be held on April 28, comes only eight months after Sánchez was sworn in as the nation’s prime minister. The political instability in the country is mirrored in France, where President Emmanuel Macron remains under severe pressure from the “yellow vest” protests, in Germany, where Chancellor Angela Merkel’s long period in power is in its twilight, and in Italy, where Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte was forced last week to dismiss speculation that reported tension between coalition partners the Five Star Movement and the League could cause it to collapse.
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Moreover, this political angst, alongside the continuing drama of Brexit, appears to be contributing to flagging European economic growth. On Wednesday, for instance, it was announced that euro-zone factories saw a production slump in December for the second month in a row.
Industrial production was 0.9 per cent lower in December than November, according to the Eurostat statistics agency, the fourth fall in six months. Overall, the euro zone grew by only 0.2 per cent in the last three months of 2018.
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