China at 70 faces three challenges: Taiwan, the US and Hong Kong. Can Xi Jinping deliver?
- China’s relationships with Taiwan, the US and Hong Kong threaten not only the stability of the nation, but its very survival
- It remains to be seen whether President Xi can resolve these inherited problems and make China strong again
China is struggling to bear the burden of its numerous policy and strategy failures. There are three major issues that the country has to successfully confront if it wishes to preserve itself.
Taiwan resists Beijing’s attempt to woo island – one job at a time
However, he intended to first weaken the KMT from the inside out, but his plan was interrupted by the Korean war. When North Korea invaded the South, US president Harry Truman not only agreed to support South Korea, but also ordered the US Navy to stop any potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan. Had Mao struck while the iron was hot, we would not be debating the meaning of “China” in 2019.
These three issues – relationships with Taiwan, the US and Hong Kong – are threatening not only the stability of China, but its survival. President Xi Jinping is unfortunate in that he has inherited many of these problems.
The seeds of the Taiwan conflict were sowed when Mao took over China.
US relations have always been rocky, especially since the Tiananmen Square crackdown. And, in recent decades, the US government, whether led by a Democratic or Republican president, has been hawkish towards China.
Hong Kong has belonged to China since 1997, predating Xi’s rule by well over a decade.
So far, Xi has been unable to reduce the tensions plaguing China in these three key areas. Although Xi may act tough on Taiwan, China has shown itself to be a paper tiger. It may roar, but will never attack. Taipei knows this, and it knows it is better off as a democracy. China is too big for democracy but Taiwan is not. It will never surrender to Beijing.
There is no end to the trade war in sight, no matter how much energy Xi puts into negotiating. President Donald Trump is unpredictable and throws deals out as fast as he makes them. There is no use in holding out for a negotiated end to this dispute.
I am almost 90 now. I have seen nearly 100 years of Chinese history. I lived through the warlord era and the Japanese occupation of China and Hong Kong. I witnessed the atrocities Japan committed, and its eventual defeat in World War II. I saw the civil war in China – I still remember the Red Army coming into Beijing in February 1949. I witnessed the chaos that arose from a weak China, and the long, painful process it took to become strong again.
Now, China is showing weakness once more. President Xi cannot solve the problems that have been growing steadily worse over the years. The Communist Party has ruled China for 70 years. That’s longer than many Chinese imperial dynasties. Could it rule for another 70 years? Like all Chinese people, I hope that Xi is able to make China strong once again.
Chi Wang, a former head of the Chinese section of the US Library of Congress, is president of the US-China Policy Foundation