Advertisement
US-China trade war
Opinion
Chen Long

Opinion | US-China trade talks: there’s so much more at stake, including Hong Kong and Taiwan. And that’s why they won’t succeed

  • Donald Trump can’t take a soft line on China with an upcoming presidential election, and his aggressive tactics will only meet a similar response from Beijing
  • This is especially so given the protests in Hong Kong and deteriorating cross-strait relations, and after the ‘currency manipulator’ charge angered Beijing’s moderates

Reading Time:3 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP
Illustration: Craig Stephens

Hope is again in the air with upcoming talks between negotiators from China and the United States about the ongoing trade war. But developments over the past few months in Beijing, Washington and Hong Kong should make it clear that the conflict is about much more than just trade, and a couple of days of face-to-face meetings cannot resolve much, if anything.

Washington’s decision to maximise pressure on Beijing will only meet more resistance, leaving the chances of reaching a deal close to nil.

With a presidential election next year, it seems that the Trump administration, especially President Donald Trump himself, is convinced that the best tactic is to be more aggressive with China. Therefore, Trump has announced two further rounds of tariff hikes since early August – and is waging at least three other wars on Beijing.

Advertisement
First is the technology war. The US government has put restrictions on several Chinese technology firms by either limiting supply or demand. In the case of Huawei, it’s both: the US has announced export controls to prevent Huawei purchasing items from American suppliers and is trying everything in its power to stop the Chinese firm from gaining market share elsewhere.
Recently, US prosecutors have started new investigations into Huawei, related to intellectual property. Furthermore, things have moved from the corporate to an individual level, in an attempt to cut off potential transfers of knowledge from the US to China. For example, some Chinese or ethnic-Chinese researchers are under investigation by the US government, which has cited “national security” concerns.
Advertisement
Advertisement
Select Voice
Choose your listening speed
Get through articles 2x faster
1.25x
250 WPM
Slow
Average
Fast
1.25x