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US-China relations
Opinion
SCMP Editorial

EditorialChina clearly wants good relations with the US, but is the feeling mutual?

  • Slow progress in mending trade and tech ties should not be read as lack of willingness in Beijing

2-MIN READ2-MIN
From left, moderator Chua Kong Ho, Tech Editor of the SCMP; Donald Morrissey of Huawei; Naomi Wilson of the Asia Information Technology Industry Council; and Robert Atkinson of the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation at China Conference USA in New York. Photo: SCMP

It is a fraught time to be debating “competition or cooperation” between the United States and China. Relations strained by the trade war have been further soured by US moves to sanction officials in Hong Kong and Xinjiang, prompting Beijing to launch a PR campaign aimed at countering “foreign interference”. However, a conference on this choice in New York, organised by the Post with speakers from both sides, turned out to be well timed. It came virtually on the eve of the two sides announcing an interim deal to avoid further escalation of their trade war, which sets the stage for further talks on the range of issues between the two countries touched on at the conference.

Foremost among them was the risk from China-US rivalry to the efficient, secure roll-out of 5G wireless technology and to further innovation, and so-called technological decoupling of the world’s two biggest economies. Conceding the expanded security risks with the use of 5G networks, tech giant Huawei executive Donald Morrissey called on the global telecoms industry to devise standards that met data and national security requirements without regard to a supplier’s country of origin. After all, given that some issues were present in 3G and 4G, the problem is not unsolvable.

Panellists at the conference were less sanguine, however, about decoupling, saying that the Trump administration’s calls for US tech companies to leave China were creating uncertainty, undercutting growth and denting innovation. Robert Atkinson, president of the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation, said there was already a modified decoupling through policy and regulation by both governments that would potentially be very damaging in the long run. Former Chinese commerce minister Chen Deming was more direct, saying “to hell with decoupling” and questioning if globalisation was falling into “hemispherisation”. “Whoever insists on decoupling will fall behind [in] ... science an technology,” he said.
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While the conference was a chance to bridge a lack of mutual understanding, sentiment on both sides is becoming increasingly toxic. With a presidential election next year, Washington is becoming even more sensitive. Beijing needs a circuit breaker to stop the downward spiral in relations. The interim “phase one” deal is a stabiliser for the China-US relationship, which is critical for China’s own stability. China needs to manage the relationship. This doesn’t mean compromising on core issues but China does need positive news, not least to avoid becoming an even hotter issue in the election.

Beijing understands that US resentments are wide-based and won’t go away with a change of president. The reality is that the phase two negotiation will be long and complex and may take years. Slow progress should not be read as lack of willingness in Beijing.

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