Conflict prevention in the South China Sea depends on China abiding by the existing rules of navigation
- US freedom of navigation operations do not, in and of themselves, raise the risk of a maritime incident
- From the 1972 ‘Rules of the Road’ to the 2014 bilateral agreement on the rules of behaviour, the protocol exists for peaceful engagement even in disputed waters
If China truly wants to coexist and compete peacefully in the Indo-Pacific, it must comply with international treaties and agreements.
This includes international accords that apply to the disputed waters of the South China Sea, where the risk of an incident is growing, not only between the US and China, but also between China and its neighbours. China’s flouting of international rules in the South China Sea may spark a future maritime incident.
Some Chinese charge that the United States is increasing the potential for a dangerous encounter by sailing navy vessels close to rocks or artificial islands controlled by China. That argument was made by Senior Colonel Zhou Bo, an official in China‘s Ministry of Defence, in a recent New York Times column.
In accordance with the convention, the Decatur was required to maintain course and speed and the Lanzhou, the overtaking vessel, was obliged to “keep out of the way” of the Decatur.
In 2014, China and the US agreed to the use of the Code for Unplanned Encounters at Sea (CUES), which is a basic format for navies to communicate navigational safety.
For example, if a warship intends to launch a helicopter while another ship is nearby, the warship simply states in English over bridge-to-bridge radio communications “Alpha Victor Sixteen Tack Three.”
However, the Chinese navy does not use CUES in the South China Sea. There are two possible reasons for this – one, orders have been given to Chinese navy ships not to use CUES or, two, ship personnel aboard Chinese warships do not receive adequate training in how to properly use CUES. Regardless, China is not abiding by the multilateral and bilateral agreements aimed at maximising safety at sea.
The legality of Vietnam’s continental shelf rights guaranteed by UN Convention on the Law of the Sea had remained unchallenged by China for decades, but now Beijing has signalled it will not allow new unilateral or gas activities by its neighbours anywhere inside the nine-dash line.
Zhou Bo asserts that the US and China will need to put more rules in place, not only in the maritime realm, but also in outer space, cyberspace and artificial intelligence.
While we agree with him that more confidence-building measures are useful to avoid a future maritime incident, China isn’t following the bilateral agreements and international rules that already exist.
How would more rules help? If China is serious about avoiding a future maritime incident, the Chinese Navy should start following the rules already established. Otherwise, they are not worth the paper they are written on.
Bonnie S. Glaser is a senior adviser for Asia and director of the China Power Project at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). Commander Jeff W. Benson is a military fellow with CSIS and commanded the USS Stethem (DDG-63), forward deployed in Japan, from 2017 to 2019. His views are his own and do not represent those of the Departments of Defence or the Navy
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