Does brash, rash Zhao Lijian really speak for the Chinese government?
- China’s old-school diplomats, such as its ambassador to the United States, are being drowned out by new voices like the foreign ministry spokesman
- Mixed messaging is, of course, part of the diplomatic toolkit, but given the stakes in US-China relations, some tact and prudence would go a long way
“It might be the US Army who brought the epidemic to Wuhan,” he said. “… Be transparent! Make public your data! US owe us an explanation!”
There are signs of resistance and calls for restraint. The clearest counter-message to date has come from Cui.
Ambassador Cui has at least twice made a point of disputing his junior colleague’s conspiracy theory, saying it was “crazy” to suggest that the coronavirus might have been deliberately weaponised by the US military.
Yet Zhao continues to carry out his duties as deputy director of the foreign ministry’s information department.
So, who really speaks for the party? Who speaks for Xi? Are duelling factions in Beijing battling for influence?
China analysts in the West have a long history of seeing factions in the Beijing leadership despite loud communist claims that none exist. The rift between Cui and Zhao probably speaks more to a generation gap than duelling factions.
Cui Tiankai, at age 67, is old enough to remember a time when the US and China had no ties at all. Zhou Enlai was the exemplary diplomat of his youth, a model of protocol and cunning realism.
Cui went on to serve in the UN and as ambassador to Japan. He has proved a tough negotiator, willing to argue vociferously for China’s interests, but he is also part of the Zhou tradition that values tact.
Not only did this contretemps not threaten Zhao’s job, but it bolstered his notoriety in China where standing up to the US is a proven way of burnishing nationalist credentials.
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“Patriotic” Beijing students attacked the US embassy with bottles, paint and brickbats. The photo of beleaguered US ambassador James Sasser peering out of a broken embassy window aptly captures the abject tone in diplomacy at the time.
In contrast, future ambassador Cui Tiankai launched his career during the honeymoon of newly established US-China relations when Jimmy Carter reached out to Deng Xiaoping under the guidance of Zbigniew Brzezinski and Michel Oksenberg.
Both Cui and Zhao speak for the party, each in their own way. Mixed messaging is part of the diplomatic toolkit, and gaffes are par for the course. There are sharp differences in style and hints of regional differences as well, suave Shanghai versus blunt Beijing.
But more than anything else, the contrast in tone sounds like adult versus child, and given the stakes, it’s time for the adults in the room to stand up.
Philip J. Cunningham is the author of Tiananmen Moon, a first-hand account of the 1989 Beijing student protests