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Taiwan
Opinion
Derek Grossman

Opinion | Why Taiwan should be wary about its growing bond with the US

  • Taipei must consider the possibility that Washington is using it as a pawn to frustrate Beijing. There is disturbing evidence that US President Donald Trump considers relations with Taiwan expendable in the context of a deal he could make with China

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US health secretary Alex Azar waves before leaving Taiwan from Taipei Songshan Airport on August 12. Photo: EPA-EFE/Handout
On August 9, US Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar made a historic visit to Taiwan. Azar became the highest-ranking American cabinet official to travel to the island since 1979, which was when the United States dropped official diplomatic recognition of Taiwan in favour of communist China.
Indeed, Azar’s visit should be celebrated by Taipei and Washington as it presents the latest evidence that bilateral relations are significantly strengthening – in this case, to better understand and handle the coronavirus pandemic. 

However, Taiwan should also view the US’ moves to bolster bilateral ties with some measure of trepidation. Simply put, the US’ objectives, in taking such unprecedented steps with Taiwan over the past few years, remain unclear.

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On the one hand, Taiwan and the US are natural partners. Both are vibrant democracies with numerous overlapping political, economic and security interests. From this perspective, it makes sense to enhance US-Taiwan relations and to integrate Taiwan into the US Indo-Pacific strategy with “like-minded” nations.

On the other hand, Washington is embroiled in an increasingly ferocious great-power competition with Beijing, raising concerns that the US may actually be strengthening ties with Taiwan primarily to frustrate and thwart China.

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If the US were to make increasingly provocative moves, such as one day sending the secretary of state or defence chief, forging a formal military alliance with Taiwan, or even unilaterally recognising Taiwan as an independent nation, then this could lead to armed conflict between the US and China over Taiwan – certainly an undesirable outcome for Taipei.
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