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China-India relations
Opinion
C. Raja Mohan

Opinion | How the coronavirus pandemic and border conflict with China pushed India closer to the US

  • The economic disruption triggered by the coronavirus has forced India’s prime minister to unveil a series of economic reforms, which, following Chinese moves in Ladakh, include active economic decoupling from China and closer ties with the US

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The Covid-19 crisis has sharpened India’s long-standing strategic challenges as well as intensified the search for answers to them.

The massive economic disruption triggered by the coronavirus has forced Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to unveil economic reforms and a broad political framework under which they could be pursued. The geopolitical dimension of this economic restructuring ties in closely with the reordering of India’s great power relations, hastened in recent days by Chinese aggression in the eastern Ladakh region.
India’s retaliation so far has focused on an economic escalation rather than a military one. And amid Beijing’s refusal to walk back from the territories that it has occupied in the current crisis, the pressures grow on India for an economic decoupling from China.
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If Beijing has been the source of many recent economic and foreign policy changes in New Delhi, the United States has increasingly become quite central to India’s answers. Although there is much uncertainty in America’s own direction and its relationship with China, the prospects for a deeper strategic partnership between Delhi and Washington have improved significantly.
The Indian economy was slowing down through the 2010s after reaching unprecedented growth rates of close to 9 per cent in the mid-2000s. The expectation that Modi, first elected in 2014 with an impressive mandate, would give fresh impetus to India’s growth trajectory was quickly belied. The two major actions he took – demonetisation and the introduction of a goods and services tax – seemed to further batter the economy.

02:53

China-India border dispute: China frees detained Indians after sides agree to ‘quickly disengage’

China-India border dispute: China frees detained Indians after sides agree to ‘quickly disengage’

Then came the pandemic, which left Delhi with no option but to undertake serious reform. These included lowering taxes, ending state monopoly on agricultural trade, privatising state-owned enterprises, lifting some caps on foreign direct investment, and opening up additional sectors to private enterprise. There was also the special effort to promote manufacturing through production-linked incentives.

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