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Space
Opinion
Danil Bochkov

Opinion | In the new space race with the US, how far can China’s cooperation with Russia go?

  • Uncertainty over US foreign policy is pushing Russia and China to expand space cooperation
  • However, China’s own advances in space research have shifted the balance between Moscow and Beijing

Reading Time:4 minutes
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Illustration: Stephen Case
China recently conducted a successful launch of its medium-lift Long March-8 rocket, the first step in a plan to develop a series of reusable rockets like American aerospace company SpaceX’s Falcon range – making China the second in the world to tap into such technology.

Moreover, China has been leading the world in space launches, with 39 conducted in 2018 and 34 in 2019, leaving the United States and Russia behind. This year, China has accounted for 35 per cent of global space launches.

Meanwhile, the Russian space industry has suffered budget cuts following the economic recession of 2014-2017 and the economic fallout from Covid-19. New spending cuts are planned until 2023. Russia’s launch activities have fallen by about 40 per cent compared to last year.

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China has also made a great leap forward in space research with two ambitious missions: the Chang’e-5 probe has returned with the first lunar samples in decades, and Tianwen-1 is China’s first mission to Mars. Chinese space missions are making international lists, including one by MIT Technology Review.

The diplomatic implications of a crystallising space race are stronger than they might seem. In early December, US Vice-President Mike Pence said that Americans are “in the lead” in the space race which started in the 1950s.

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Such language speaks volumes about US policies on space research – of priorities shifting from cooperation to competition. This problem is well perceived by field professionals who are keen to appeal to the incoming Joe Biden administration to take a softer approach on China, starting with cooperation on space research.
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