‘Dynamic living with Covid’ is the policy Hong Kong should be pursuing
- The soaring infection rate has made a return to zero cases impossible. Attempting it is costing the economy, yet to ‘let rip’ would endanger many more lives
- The solution is a flexible Covid-19 policy that allows maximum freedom for the general population while protecting the vulnerable
Whether it is possible to eradicate Covid-19 is, for now, a hypothetical question. While we should not dismiss the possibility in the years ahead, an international expert review of the feasibility and desirability of attempting Covid-19 eradication has yet to shape up.
They are emboldened by the relative mild health impacts of Omicron over previous Covid-19 variants. They are helped by high rates of vaccinations. The question for all in China is when to pivot our own pandemic strategies.
The quandary is clear. The intense focus from the media and the daily Covid-19 reports make everyone want to get back to zero quickly. At the same time, there is mounting resistance to the costs of the limitations this will require on our social and economic life.
As China’s “world city”, it is time for Hong Kong to openly discuss how we pivot from a strategy that worked well previously, to a new strategy better suited for going forward. In its pursuit of zero infections, our government is implementing ever more draconian measures.
The debate over zero-Covid versus living-with-Covid has been oversimplified. The choice for Hong Kong is whether to continue with a “dynamic zero infection” policy or to pivot to, what I call, a “dynamic living with Covid” policy.
The difference is not mere semantics. The community needs to see light at the end of the tunnel. They need a well-defined pathway to opening up our economy to both the mainland and the rest of the world. In return, people and businesses will be motivated to carry on despite difficulties, as they have done admirably for the last two years.
The zero-Covid strategy bought Hong Kong time that was not used well
What I propose is an important pivot. Zero – even if achievable – will be proven to be unsustainable. If at all, eradication is unlikely for many years ahead. Equally wrong is a notion that we simply let Omicron rip. High death rates among children and the elderly are unacceptable outcomes for both the public and policymakers.
“Dynamic living with Covid” policies allow giving up on zero infection targets once we meet clearly advertised vaccination levels. Once met, there are good reasons to ride the Omicron outbreak rather than panic. Omicron will help boost overall immunity in the community. There is no guarantee the next variant is milder.
Paul Zimmerman is CEO of Designing Hong Kong and vice-chairman of Southern District Council