Hong Kong must reopen to the world before it’s too late
- The longer Hong Kong is closed off, the greater the risk of being surpassed by rivals and fading into economic irrelevance. If this means a further delay in reopening the border with the mainland, so be it
The tide is flowing against us. We need bold, decisive leadership to change the direction of the current. We must open up to the outside world quickly.
I will not restate the many missteps in our pandemic policies up to now. I and other commentators have practically beaten the subject to death. That is water under the bridge or, to put it another way, bodies in the morgue. But we have finally stumbled into a reasonably satisfactory position.
Our overall vaccination rate is almost 90 per cent, more than 80 per cent for the over 60s and even the octogenarians are at over 60 per cent and rising. These efforts must continue, including boosters for senior citizens.
Moreover, the flight suspension arrangements whereby an airline can be banned from a route for a period of time depending on test results of its passengers makes no sense. It punishes airlines for matters largely beyond their control and disrupts the travel plans of passengers booked on subsequent flights.
The system should be scrapped. The quarantine system has to go, and as soon as we have absorbed the effects of that, the mask mandate must go, too.
The situation on the mainland has similarities with Hong Kong but also major differences. One difference is at the policy level, with the mainland adopting “dynamic clearing”. This means living life as normally as possible but clamping down hard whenever an outbreak occurs.
Small wonder that China’s top expert on the subject, Zhong Nanshan, has started to question whether the policy is sustainable in the long term. However, his view has yet to gain much support at senior political levels.
Moreover, the health systems are much less developed, especially in rural areas. Even a 2 per cent mortality rate would result in over a million deaths, which would be socially destabilising. This explains the caution against premature relaxation.
Given the size and diversity of the mainland economy, closing the country off from the outside world seemed a viable option, at least for a while. But time is up for this approach.
China has the world’s second-largest GDP and is an integral part of the global economy. Whereas the world could manage without Hong Kong if it had to – and if we were that foolish – it cannot manage without China. The case for a forceful vaccination drive is becoming overwhelming.
Mike Rowse is the CEO of Treloar Enterprises