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Food and agriculture
Opinion
Wandile Sihlobo

The View | Agricultural export bans amid global food insecurities leave developing world to suffer

  • Several countries have banned commodity exports since the start of the pandemic, affecting supplies of wheat, rice, fertiliser, palm oil and more
  • Instead of harmful bans, the world must help farmers increase production and fill gaps in supplies

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A farmer harvests wheat on the outskirts of Jammu, India. India has recently announced a ban on wheat exports, which is likely to fuel further price increases in the global market. Photo: AP
Periods of uncertainty tend to lead to nations taking drastic, self-interested policy measures. Since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, several countries have placed temporary bans on exports of grains, ostensibly to protect domestic consumers. In July 2021, China went as far as banning exports of fertiliser in an attempt to ensure adequate domestic supply.

Such inward-looking policy actions often have a notable disruption on the highly interconnected global agricultural market. In the case of China’s ban on fertiliser exports, for instance, the impact was felt through a sharp rise in prices across the global fertiliser market as China is the second-largest fertiliser exporter by value after Russia.

As the world came to better manage the worst of the pandemic’s health aspects through the use of vaccinations and other measures, we saw a reversal of grain export bans by the likes of Vietnam and Kazakhstan. The Group of 7 agriculture ministers had criticised the export bans at the time.

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The destruction brought about by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has had a direct and more severe impact on the agricultural market as both countries contribute substantial volumes of grains, oilseeds and fertiliser exports.

Collectively, they make up nearly 30 per cent of global wheat exports, 30 per cent of barley exports and roughly 60 per cent of global sunflower seed exports. Russia alone accounts for about 14 per cent of global fertiliser exports.

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For this reason, global grains and oilseed prices have remained elevated in recent months. The UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) Food Price Index averaged 158.5 points in April, down marginally from the all-time high in March but still 30 per cent up from April 2021. This was probably a temporary blip. Prices are likely to show an uptick to a fresh high in the May data, due to be released next month.

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