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My Take
Opinion
Alex Lo

My Take | Bad Samaritans who keep passing through the Taiwan Strait

  • American provocateurs continue to stir the pot by suggesting lengthening mandatory military service in Taiwan and abandoning the one-China policy

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A military police office stands guard during an air raid drill in Taipei on Monday. Photo: Bloomberg
Say what you like about Mark Esper; the former Pentagon chief under Donald Trump does know where to pour fuel on the fire. First, he suggested Washington should end its one-China policy: “It is my personal view that the one-China policy has outlived its usefulness, that it is time to move away from strategic ambiguity.”
Then, he advised the island to extend its mandatory military service to one year. The incendiary comments were made during his red-carpet trip to Taiwan. It may be worth putting both proposals in context, that is, within the domestic politics of the self-ruled island rather than at the international axis of Taiwan, mainland China and the United States.

Military service

Domestically, the length of military service has been a long-standing issue. So it’s hardly the case that Esper is starting the debate only just now. The current debate dates from last November. Back then, Jang Chyi-lu, an economist and lawmaker of the opposition Taiwan People’s Party, asked Defence Minister Chiu Kuo-cheng about the need and feasibility of extending the training of male conscripts from the current four months to one year, especially in light of the much longer period of mandatory military training in South Korea and Singapore.

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In the previous month, Chiu made the controversial claim that the mainland would be in a position to mount a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025. Jang’s question and Chiu’s claim became more urgent in Taiwan after the Russian invasion of Ukraine in late February. (See my column, “Taiwan’s excuse to extend conscription”, on April 7.)

The war in Ukraine gave an immediate boost to public support for lengthening mandatory military service. A March 22 survey conducted by the Taiwanese Public Opinion Foundation found three out of four Taiwanese supported lengthening it to one year.

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But such sentiments may not be sustainable as they have always been susceptible to the waxing and waning of tensions between the island and the mainland. From 1949 to 2000, conscription lasted two to three years. But in the 2000s, it was shortened to one year, as cross-strait ties were strengthened and tensions waned. Thereafter, four months of basic training were enough to earn a conscript a waiver for the rest of the year of service.

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